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Events
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What will gas hit the week of October 19?

What will gas hit the week of October 19?
Vol

PM $0

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Events

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Markets

12

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

12

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from Monday, October 19, 2026 through Sunday, October 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified week, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
US gas prices on Election Day

US gas prices on Election Day

PM $5.4K · K 274.2K contracts

Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31?

Kalshi: Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?

Related contracts

PM Yes 42.5%Rules differK Yes 14%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Gas prices on October 19?

Gas prices on October 19?

PM $0
Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 19?Yes 43.5%
Will the US national average gas price be between $4.3000 and $4.3099 on October 19?Yes 35.5%
Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2800 on October 19?Yes 19.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?

PM $18.1K
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?Yes 44.5%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?Yes 31%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

PM $14.3K
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?Yes 31%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?Yes 28%
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.86% in October?Yes 19%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

PM $31.5K
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?Yes 18.6%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?Yes 13.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Yes 12.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?

PM $20.7K
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?Yes 13.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?Yes 10.5%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?Yes 9.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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