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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Name: Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga
End: 2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$36.18K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga

Vol

$36.18K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $36.18K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $36.18K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Poly	99%
Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Poly	58%
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Poly	44%
Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Poly	27%
Will Darmstadt 98 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Poly	1%
Will Hertha BSC achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$36.18K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 B

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bundesliga 2: Team promoted to Bundesliga
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 25, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2.

If the 2025-26 B

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.9K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Darmstadt 98 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $547
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $650
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Hertha BSC achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Schalke 04 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $663
  DATA: [Yes: 98.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Hannover 96 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 25, 2026): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports