Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
PM $53.5K
1
15
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
PM $53.5K
1
15
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is The Black Ball at 82%.
Polymarket
- The Black Ball82%
- Possible Love4.9%
- All of a Sudden4.5%
- Fjord4.3%
- Fatherland3.8%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $53.5K
Reported volume · provider units
15
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T09:00:05.810Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event asks which film will win the Best International Feature Film award at the 99th Academy Awards. According to the event text, "This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film." [1] The excerpt also states that nominations "are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027." [1] These dates come from the contract background, not from a confirmed announcement in the supplied evidence.
Each individual market asks whether one named film will win. The market end dates are listed as 2027-03-14T23:59:00Z, while the event's listed end time is 2027-07-01T03:59:00Z. [1] The excerpt is also cut off partway through its rules on films that are not officially nominated, so the supplied text does not show how that situation is handled.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-15T09:00:05.810Z, and the record was retrieved at 10:06:31 UTC the same day. [1] These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The highest included Yes price is for The Black Ball, at 0.745, with a No price of 0.255. [1] The next included films are Possible Love (0.0495), All of a Sudden (0.0485), Fjord (0.047), Fatherland (0.037), and Minotaur (0.028). [1] The remaining included films are priced at 0.0065 or lower. [1]
The sample is partial. Twelve of 15 provider markets are included, and the selection favors the highest finite Yes prices, then volume. [1] Omitted films should not be read as having lower prices than the ones shown. Volume reflects trading activity, not liquidity or the number of traders, so it does not indicate how many people hold a view.
Because each market is a separate yes or no contract, the prices should not be averaged or combined into a single ranking across unlike outcomes. Different contract wording or close times would also need separate review before any comparison.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not show news or changes after the snapshot. It also does not establish how accurately such prices have forecast past awards. The three omitted markets, the full nomination process, and the treatment of non-nominated films are not visible in the excerpt. Readers should check the current provider page and the complete rules before relying on any figure.
References
- Polymarket: Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T09:00:05.810Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
PredictPedia's saved record covers a Polymarket event titled "Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner" in the Culture category. The event is built around the 99th Academy Awards, and each market asks whether one named film will win the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film at that ceremony [1]. The provider's description states that the event will resolve according to the listed film that wins the award [1]. The Academy Award for Best International Feature Film is one of the Academy Awards given each year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) [3]. It goes to a feature-length motion picture produced outside the United States with a predominantly non-English dialogue track [3]. The provider's description adds that nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21 and the ceremony is scheduled for March 14, 2027 [1]. These are scheduled dates stated in the provider's description, not confirmed announcements from the Academy in this record. Each market in the event is a separate yes or no contract on one film. The saved record lists a market end date of March 14, 2027 at 23:59 UTC for each market [1]. The same provider page also lists an event end time of July 1, 2027 at 03:59 UTC [1]. A listed end time is a provider field, and it should not be read as the date the winner is determined or the date a contract resolves. The resolution rule itself is tied to the award result, as described above [1]. The prices attached to these contracts are snapshots from the observation time recorded in this record. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any film winning. The record also includes only part of the event: 12 of the 15 markets in the saved provider event are included, selected by the highest Yes prices. A higher or lower price on one market should not be compared against an omitted market, and the included markets should not be treated as the full field of submitted films.
Historical Context
The Academy has invited national film industries to submit films for this award every year since the award was created in 1956 [2]. The category was originally called Best Foreign Language Film. In April 2019 it was renamed Best International Feature Film, after the Academy judged the word "Foreign" to be outdated [2]. The source for this history is a Wikipedia list of submissions, so it describes the award's background and does not confirm any current submission or nomination status.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which single film wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film [1]. Because the award is limited to feature films produced outside the United States with predominantly non-English dialogue [3], the contract's outcome depends on the Academy's award result rather than on box office or general popularity. The provider's description notes that the ceremony is scheduled for March 14, 2027 [1], so the contract's market end date matches that scheduled date [1]. Traders and readers should keep the difference between a scheduled ceremony date, the provider's listed end time, and the actual award result in view.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does each market in this event ask?
Each market asks whether a specific film will win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards [1]. The contract resolves according to the film that wins that award [1].
Who runs the Best International Feature Film award?
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences presents the Academy Awards [1]. The International Feature Film Award Committee oversees the submission process and reviews submitted films [2].
What kind of film is eligible for this award?
The award is given to a feature-length motion picture produced outside the United States with a predominantly non-English dialogue track [3].
When is the ceremony and when do the markets end?
The provider's description states that the ceremony is scheduled for March 14, 2027 [1]. The saved market end date is March 14, 2027 at 23:59 UTC [1], while the event's listed end time is July 1, 2027 at 03:59 UTC [1].
Does a price on this page show the chance that a film wins?
No. The price is a snapshot from the recorded observation time. It is not an executable quote or a verified probability, and the record includes only 12 of 15 markets from the provider event [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations
PM $35.4K
Oscar nominees: Best International Feature Film
K 68.6K contractsCritics Choice Awards: Best Animated Feature
PM $73.2K · K 38.1K contractsWill Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Kalshi: Will Wildwood be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Related contracts
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Kalshi: Will Toy Story 5 be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Related contracts
Will Hoppers win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Kalshi: Will Hoppers be on the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
PM $46.0KOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
PM $46.6KOscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations
PM $30.9KMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.