GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US housing starts for June

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US housing starts for June

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?	Kalshi	94%
Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.150M?	Kalshi	89%
Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.175M?	Kalshi	86%
Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.200M?	Kalshi	80%
Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.225M?	Kalshi	71%
Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.250M?	Kalshi	65%
Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.275M?	Kalshi	58%
Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.300M?	Kalshi	52%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

June 2026 If US housing starts for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for June 2026, as displayed on Trading Economics. If the June 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the June 2026 Housing Starts value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US housing starts for June
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** June 2026

If US housing starts for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for June 2026, as displayed on Trading Economics. If the June 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the June 2026 Housing Starts value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If US housing starts for June 2026 is above 1.300M, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for June 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the June 2026 release is dela"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.300M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.275M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.250M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.225M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.200M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.175M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.150M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US housing starts for June

Volume$0.00

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

KALSHI

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

If US housing starts for June 2026 is above 1.125M, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for June 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the June 2026 release is dela

KALSHI

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.150M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.150M?

If US housing starts for June 2026 is above 1.150M, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for June 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the June 2026 release is dela

KALSHI

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.175M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.175M?

If US housing starts for June 2026 is above 1.175M, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for June 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the June 2026 release is dela

KALSHI

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.200M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.200M?

If US housing starts for June 2026 is above 1.200M, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for June 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the June 2026 release is dela

KALSHI

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.225M?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.225M?

If US housing starts for June 2026 is above 1.225M, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for June 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the June 2026 release is dela

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

74¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/B0JS_V" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US housing starts for June"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

US housing starts for June

US housing starts for June

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

US housing starts for June

Markets (8)

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.150M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.150M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.175M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.175M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.200M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.200M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.225M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.225M?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US housing starts for June

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.125M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.150M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.150M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.175M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.175M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.200M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.200M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.225M?

Will US housing starts for June 2026 be above 1.225M?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget