Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Total Volume

$2.72

Events

Markets

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How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Vol

$2.72

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.72

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.72

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?	Kalshi	79%
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?	Kalshi	57%
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?	Kalshi	43%
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 10000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?	Kalshi	29%
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 12000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?	Kalshi	16%
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 14000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?	Kalshi	11%
Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 16000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

79%

Top Probability

$2.72

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above X upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year

If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above X upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above 8,000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 16000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2027): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 14000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 12000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 10000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Volume$2.72

Markets7

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KALSHI

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.0¢No 21.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above 4,000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above 6,000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above 8,000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 10000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 10000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above 10,000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 12000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHITech

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 12000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

If the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules is above 12,000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year, then the market resolves to Yes.

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34¢

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How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

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Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Markets (7)

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 10000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 10000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 12000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 12000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 4000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 6000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 8000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 10000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 10000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 12000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

Will the citywide number of 2-K seats New York City makes available for placement, counting each seat once across all program settings and schedules be above 12000 upon completion of the initial 2-K offer release for the 2027–28 school year?

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