BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET" and sits in the Crypto category [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The named resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A BNB contract with different wording, such as one tied to an exchange price or a spot series, would measure something different and should not be compared directly.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record was observed at 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z and retrieved at 2026-10-29T05:27:40.726Z [1]. It lists Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The listed end time is 2026-10-29T17:35:00.000Z, and the provider status at observation was active [1].
The sample covers one market from one provider event and is not marked as a partial sample [1]. Because this is a binary contract and both outcomes are included, no omitted outcome affects the comparison. The evidence does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The prices were observed about five and a half hours before retrieval, so they should not be read as current. The supplied evidence contains no later price, no status at retrieval, and no BNB starting price for the window. It therefore cannot show whether the TWAP will finish at or above the starting price. It also gives no explanation for the quoted prices or for any change in them.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval crypto contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET," listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB over a five-minute window will be higher or lower than at the start of that window. The provider's rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, across the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream, which the provider links in its rules [1]. The rules say the contract concerns that specific Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair and not any other price source or spot market [1]. Readers should therefore not assume that a quote on another exchange or a different BNB price feed determines the outcome of this contract. Because the reference is an average over the window rather than a single price at the end, the outcome depends on how the price moves across the full five minutes compared with the starting level. The rules also treat an average exactly equal to the starting price as "Up" [1]. The provider's saved record lists the end time as 2026-10-29T17:35:00Z, which corresponds to the 1:35PM ET end of the window named in the title [1]. That listed time describes the contract schedule. It does not by itself confirm when or how the contract was settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over a fixed five-minute window finishes at or above its starting level [1]. It is a narrow, time-bound question about short-term price direction for BNB. Because the rules name one specific data stream as the resolution source, the contract's result is tied to that feed's measurements rather than to general market sentiment or other reported prices [1]. Readers who want to understand the contract should focus on the window definition, the averaging method, and the named source, since each determines the outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract compares the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP across the time range in the title with the price at the start of that range. If the TWAP is greater than or equal to the starting price, it resolves Up. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used to resolve the contract?
The stated resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market concerns that stream and not other sources or spot markets [1].
Does a price on another exchange affect the outcome?
According to the provider's rules, no. The contract is about the named Chainlink TWAP data stream and not any other sources or spot markets [1].
What does the listed end time mean?
The provider's saved record lists the end time as 2026-10-29T17:35:00Z, matching the end of the 1:30PM to 1:35PM ET window in the title [1]. This describes the scheduled window and does not confirm when settlement occurred.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.