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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha

Name: Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
End: 2026-05-02T06:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$39.14K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha

Vol

$39.14K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $39.14K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $39.14K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	Poly	50%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner	Poly	49%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Poly	48%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$39.14K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for May 1 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against MIBR. This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Leviatán Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for May 1 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against MIBR.

This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR win the match against Leviatán Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for May 1 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Leviatán Esports" if Leviatán Esports win the match against MIBR.

This market will resolve to "MIBR" if MIBR "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $40.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $243.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $65
  DATA: [Leviatán Esports: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [MIBR: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Leviatán Esports: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [MIBR: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $226
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $360
  DATA: [MIBR: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [Leviatán Esports: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $40.0K
  DATA: [Leviatán Esports: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [MIBR: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports