Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026

Total Volume

$1.28K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026

Vol

$1.28K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.28K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.28K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	84%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	68%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	39%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 580 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	23%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 585 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	13%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 590 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 595 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 600 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

84%

Top Probability

$1.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

nights & experiences booked in 2026 If Airbnb Inc. reports Above X nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in Airbnb Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire ear

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** nights & experiences booked in 2026

If Airbnb Inc. reports Above X nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in Airbnb Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire ear

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Airbnb Inc. reports Above 600000000 nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Airbnb Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release.



Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorse"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 600 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 13, 2027): Vol $294
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 595 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 13, 2027): Vol $293
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 590 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 13, 2027): Vol $142
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 585 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 13, 2027): Vol $36
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 580 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 13, 2027): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 13, 2027): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 13, 2027): Vol $162
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 13, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026

Volume$1.28K

Markets8

8 of 8

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KALSHI

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

If Airbnb Inc. reports Above 565000000 nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Airbnb Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorse

KALSHI

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.0¢No 32.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

If Airbnb Inc. reports Above 570000000 nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Airbnb Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorse

KALSHI

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

If Airbnb Inc. reports Above 575000000 nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Airbnb Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorse

KALSHI

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 580 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 580 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

If Airbnb Inc. reports Above 580000000 nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Airbnb Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorse

KALSHI

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 585 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 585 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

If Airbnb Inc. reports Above 585000000 nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in Airbnb Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorse

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31¢

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Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

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Events (1)

Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026

Markets (8)

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 580 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 580 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 585 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 585 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

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Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 565 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 570 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 575 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 580 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 580 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 585 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

Will Airbnb Inc. report Above 585 million nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026?

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