BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the BNB price over a short window. The contract resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink-generated time-weighted average price of BNB "of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The title names the window as 3:45PM to 4:00PM ET on November 1 [1].
The excerpt says the market is about "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore compare this contract only with other contracts that use the same data stream and window. A price on a different asset, a different window, or a different source is a different question.
The listed end time is "2026-11-01T21:00:00.000Z" and the provider status is "active" [1]. The excerpt does not explain how that end time relates to the ET window in the title, so readers should check the listed time against the title themselves.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T07:03:14.997Z [1]. It is a record of what the provider showed at that time, not a live reading.
The snapshot shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot. The sample covers one market from one event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for that saved event with "partialSample" set to false [1]. Volume is not reported here, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of traders.
No other platform or contract appears in the supplied evidence, so no comparison across providers is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they are, and this analysis does not attempt to explain them. It also does not show how the BNB price has moved within the window, whether any outcome has been determined, or whether the market will close early or late.
The snapshot is a single observation. Prices may have changed after the observation time, and the excerpt provides no later data. The contract also does not establish how any trader or platform would act on these prices. A reader who wants a current view should consult the live provider data for the same contract and check the listed end time and resolution rules before drawing conclusions.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a crypto price contract titled "BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET". The contract is listed on Polymarket and is categorized as crypto [1]. It asks whether the price of BNB will move up or down over a short window. The provider's rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB across the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The two outcomes are therefore "Up" and "Down", and the comparison is between the averaged price over the window and the starting price, not simply between the price at the start and end. The resolution source is named in the rules as information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the contract concerns the price reported by that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the BNB/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. This matters because a BNB price shown on another exchange or data service may differ from the figure used for settlement. Readers should check the named data stream when interpreting how the contract will be decided. The provider lists the market as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-11-01T21:00:00 UTC [1]. A listed end time is a date written in the contract rules. It is not evidence that the contract has closed, that settlement has occurred, or that any outcome has been determined. The title's time window is expressed in Eastern Time, while the listed end time in the source is given in UTC, so readers should not assume the two refer to the same clock without checking the provider's own terms.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over one short window, as defined by a time-weighted average from a named Chainlink data stream [1]. Because the outcome compares the averaged price during the window with the price at the window's start, it reflects movement across that interval under the provider's definition rather than a single moment's quote [1]. Anyone using this contract to understand BNB pricing should note that it is tied to one stated data stream and one stated pair, BNB/USD [1]. A snapshot of prices for the two outcomes is useful only as a record of what the provider showed at one time. It is not an executable quote, and it does not verify the likelihood of either outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves to Up or Down?
The provider's rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price source is used for settlement?
The rules name the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does the listed end time mean the contract has already settled?
No. The source lists an end time of 2026-11-01T21:00:00 UTC and a status of active [1]. That date appears in the contract rules and does not by itself show that a resolution has been determined.
Is the time window in the title the same as the listed end time?
The title refers to a window of 3:45PM to 4:00PM ET, while the source lists the end time in UTC [1]. Readers should confirm how the provider's window maps onto that timestamp rather than assuming they match.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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