GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

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Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

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24 markets tracked

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

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Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	37%
Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	20%
Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	14%
Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	13%
Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	8%
Will Tom Blyth be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	8%
Will Aaron Pierre be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	7%
Will Harris Dickinson be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	7%
Will James Norton be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	5%
Will Henry Cavill be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	5%
Will Charlie Hunnam be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	5%
Will Theo James be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	5%
Will Idris Elba be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	4%
Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	4%
Will Henry Ashton be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	4%
Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	3%
Will Scott Rose-Marsh be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jonathan Bailey be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	3%
Will Regé-Jean Page be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	3%
Will Damson Idris be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	3%
Will Richard Madden be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	3%
Will Nicholas Hoult be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	2%
Will Cillian Murphy be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	2%
Will Tom Hardy be the next James Bond?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

Before 2030 If X is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No, 1962; spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2030

If X is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No, 1962; spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tom Holland is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. Early close condition: This market will c"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tom Hardy be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will James Norton be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Harris Dickinson be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Henry Cavill be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Tom Blyth be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Nicholas Hoult be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Henry Ashton be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Scott Rose-Marsh be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Charlie Hunnam be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Idris Elba be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jonathan Bailey be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Cillian Murphy be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Theo James be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Regé-Jean Page be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Aaron Pierre be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Richard Madden be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Damson Idris be the next James Bond?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Volume$0.00

Markets24

24 of 24

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KALSHI

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. Early close condition: This market will

KALSHI

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

If Jacob Elordi is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. Early close condition: This market will

KALSHI

Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?

If Aaron Taylor-Johnson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. Early close condition: This mark

KALSHI

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

If Tom Francis is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. Early close condition: This market will c

KALSHI

Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?

If Tom Holland is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included. Early close condition: This market will c

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Bfx_A4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond"></iframe>

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Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

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Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Markets (9)

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?

Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?

Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?

Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?

Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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