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VT-AL House Election Winner

VT-AL House Election Winner
Vol

PM $51.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Becca Balint (D) at 97.2%.

Polymarket

  1. Becca Balint (D)97.2%
  2. Gerald Malloy (R)2.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $51.4K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory

VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory

PM $24.5K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 40%-45%?Yes 23.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 30%-35%?Yes 21.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VT-AL House election: Becca Balint vote percent

VT-AL House election: Becca Balint vote percent

K 1.6K contracts
Will Becca Balint receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 VT-AL House election?Yes 88.5%
Will Becca Balint receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 VT-AL House election?Yes 67%
Will Becca Balint receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 VT-AL House election?Yes 44%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
VT-AL House election: Gerald Malloy vote percent

VT-AL House election: Gerald Malloy vote percent

K 400 contracts
Will Gerald Malloy receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 VT-AL House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Gerald Malloy receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 VT-AL House election?Yes 91%
Will Gerald Malloy receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 VT-AL House election?Yes 76%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent

WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent

K 759.71 contracts
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 95.5%
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 87.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
AL-05 House election: Dale Strong vote percent

AL-05 House election: Dale Strong vote percent

K 3.3K contracts
Will Dale Strong receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-05 House election?Yes 95%
Will Dale Strong receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-05 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Dale Strong receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-05 House election?Yes 88.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $36.3K
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 30%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 29%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 50%-55%?Yes 15.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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