Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is a binary market on whether the SOL/USDT price on Binance rises over one hour. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The rules specify that the resolution source is Binance, and that "this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a similarly titled market on another venue should check whether that venue uses the same exchange, pair, candle length, and open-versus-close comparison.
The title refers to "October 27, 6PM ET," but the listed end time is 2026-10-27T23:00:00.000Z [1]. The rules tie resolution to the candle's finalized data, so the listed end time is a close-timing reference, not a statement of when the outcome is known. Readers should convert the listed UTC time themselves when comparing it with the title's wording.
Reading the snapshot
The saved data shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T01:53:47.883Z [1]. These prices describe that saved observation only. They are not live quotes, not executable prices, and not verified probabilities.
The coverage record lists one market, with no partial sample, and the provider reports the status as active [1]. Because only this market is included, there is no other outcome in this event to compare against. The saved data does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold either side.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price after the observation time, nor whether the market is still open today. It also does not explain why the two prices sit where they do. The sample notes that "All saved markets for these events are included," but that "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because this is a single binary contract on one platform, it should not be compared with markets on other platforms as if they were the same event unless their rules match.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a short-horizon directional contract on the price of Solana (SOL) in US dollar terms. According to the provider's rules, it resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title, which is October 27 at 6PM ET. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract is therefore about whether one specific hourly candle finishes at or above where it started, not about where SOL trades at any other point in time. The resolution source is Binance. The rules name the SOL/USDT pair on Binance and say the open and close shown at the top of the chart for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price on Binance SOL/USDT specifically, not the price on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. A reader comparing this contract with SOL prices quoted elsewhere should keep that distinction in mind. The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-27T23:00:00.000Z for this event [1]. That listed end time is the timestamp recorded in the provider data and is not evidence of any separate announcement. The provider status shown in the saved record is active [1]. Any status described here reflects only that saved record and the time it was retrieved, not a live check of the market today.
Why It Matters
The contract measures direction within a single one hour window. Because the resolution compares the close with the open of one Binance SOL/USDT candle [1], it does not measure SOL's daily change, its weekly trend, or the average price across the hour. A close equal to the open resolves to "Up" under the stated rule [1], so the boundary condition is part of the outcome definition. The narrow source requirement also shapes what the contract reflects. Because the market is tied to one exchange pair, the result depends on that pair's candle data rather than a broader market index [1]. Traders and readers who want to understand the contract should read the resolution text itself, since the outcome depends on the specific candle, the specific pair, and the finalized data.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price movement decides this market?
The market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair. The rules say the market is about Binance SOL/USDT and not about other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
When are the open and close values used?
The rules say the close and open displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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