CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés
PM $0
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3
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés
PM $0
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 between CD Anaitasuna and Deportivo Alavés.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, the Copa del Rey match between CD Anaitasuna and Deportivo Alavés, which the provider describes as "scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, 2026" [1]. The saved event contains three binary markets. Two ask whether each team wins on 2026-10-28, and one asks whether the match "end[s] in a draw" [1]. Each market lists a listed end time of 2026-10-28T18:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the provider's closing time for the contract, not a confirmed result or resolution date. Read the title and end time together, because the win markets name a specific date while the draw market uses the match title. Confirm each contract's resolution rules on the provider's page before comparing them with any other platform.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:37:17.937Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation, not live trading at the moment you read this. The quoted Yes prices were 0.495 for Anaitasuna, 0.495 for Alavés, and 0.315 for a draw [1]. The No prices were 0.505, 0.505, and 0.685 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The win contracts do not need to sum to a fixed total in a way that implies an opportunity, and the difference between the draw price and the win prices should not be read as a trading signal.
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. That describes the saved provider event only. The source states that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Volume and ordering rules were not included in the displayed prices, so do not treat ordering as a ranking of likelihood.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, how many traders hold each position, or whether liquidity is adequate for trading. It also does not include other platforms' prices for this match, so no cross-platform comparison is possible here. The contracts have not closed or resolved in the supplied evidence, and the listed end time is only a provider field. Check the live provider page for current status and any rule changes before relying on these figures.
References
- Polymarket: CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a prediction-market event on a Copa del Rey match between CD Anaitasuna and Deportivo Alavés. The provider describes the event as "for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 between CD Anaitasuna and Deportivo Alavés" [1]. The saved event records a listed end time of 2026-10-28T18:00:00.000Z and an active provider status [1]. That listed end time is a contract date, not a confirmed kickoff or result time, and the evidence does not show how or when the contracts will resolve. The event sits within the 2026-27 Copa del Rey. Wikipedia describes that edition as the 125th staging of the competition and notes that the winners are assured a place in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League group stage, with both the winners and runners-up qualifying for the four-team 2028 Supercopa de Espana [2]. This is background on the competition's structure. It does not establish the match's stakes beyond what the competition itself confers, and it is not a report on the match. The saved event includes three contracts. One asks whether CD Anaitasuna will win on 2026-10-28, one asks whether Deportivo Alavés will win on that date, and one asks whether the match will end in a draw [1]. The first two each show a Yes snapshot price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505. The draw contract shows a Yes price of 0.315 and a No price of 0.685 [1]. These figures were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, which is earlier than the retrieval time of 2026-10-16T04:37:17.893Z for the event record [1]. They are snapshots of listed prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The match is also part of a wider rivalry context. Wikipedia explains that the term Basque derbies refers to local matches between teams based in the Basque Country and to the general ongoing rivalry between clubs and fans, and that it specifically refers to individual matches between the teams [3]. The source does not say whether this fixture is described as a derby in any particular report, so the article does not make that claim for this specific match.
Historical Context
Wikipedia states that the 2026-27 Copa del Rey will be the 125th staging of the competition [2]. The source describes the upcoming edition's qualification consequences, including the Europa League group stage place for the winners and the 2028 Supercopa de Espana place for the winners and runners-up [2]. The supplied evidence does not include results from earlier meetings between these two clubs, so no head-to-head history is given here.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure three outcomes for the scheduled Copa del Rey match: a win for CD Anaitasuna, a win for Deportivo Alavés, and a draw [1]. Each contract's price is a snapshot of market pricing at one moment, which reflects the views of market participants at that time rather than an official forecast. The event's listed end time of 2026-10-28T18:00:00.000Z defines when the contracts are set to close in the provider's data [1]. Readers should not treat that date as proof of when the match will be played or decided. Because the saved sample includes all three markets for this event, the picture is complete for this provider event, though it does not cover every conceivable outcome of the real-world match [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the draw contract ask?
The draw contract asks whether CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés will end in a draw, with a listed end date of 2026-10-28 [1]. Its saved snapshot shows a Yes price of 0.315 and a No price of 0.685 [1].
When were these prices recorded?
The market prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the event record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:37:17.893Z [1]. Prices change over time, so these figures describe that observation only.
Does the listed end time show when the match will be played?
No. The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-28T18:00:00.000Z and describes the game as scheduled for October 28, 2026 [1]. The end time is a contract field, and the evidence does not confirm the kickoff time or how the contracts will settle.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
