Carolina vs Philadelphia: Fantasy Points
K 4.7K contracts
1
11
Carolina vs Philadelphia: Fantasy Points
K 4.7K contracts
1
11
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 4.7K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
CAR vs PHI (Oct 18) If X records above Y fantasy points in the Full game, including overtime, of the Carolina vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Players who do not play or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are treated as scoring 0 fantasy points. Fantasy scoring systems may vary; these markets use Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring. The fantasy-point total published by Sleeper at expiration is used, with no additional rounding, and corrections after expiration are not considered. Please read the scoring format below. All values are fantasy points under Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring. Passing, rushing, and receiving Passing yards: +0.04 per yard, +1 per 25 yards. Passing touchdown: +4. Interception thrown: −1. Passing two-point conversion: +2. Rushing yards: +0.1 per yard, +1 per 10 yards. Rushing touchdown: +6. Rushing two-point conversion: +2. Reception: +1. Receiving yards: +0.1 per yard, +1 per 10 yards. Receiving touchdown: +6. Receiving two-point conversion: +2. Kicking Field goal made, 0–39 yards: +3. Field goal made, 40–49 yards: +4. Field goal made, 50–59 yards: +5. Field goal made, 60+ yards: +6. Extra point made: +1. Field goal missed: −1. Extra point missed: −1. Defense and special teams, D/ST, Defensive touchdown: +6. Sack: +1. Interception made: +2. Defensive fumble recovery: +2. Forced fumble: +1. Safety: +2. Blocked kick: +2. Special-teams touchdown: +6. Special-teams forced fumble: +1. Special-teams fumble recovery: +1. D/ST points allowed per game 0 points allowed: +10. 1–6 points allowed: +7. 7–13 points allowed: +4. 14–20 points allowed: +1. 21–27 points allowed: 0. 28–34 points allowed: −1. 35+ points allowed: −4. Individual-player special teams and fumbles Special-teams touchdown: +6. Fumble: 0. Fumble lost: −2. Fumble-recovery touchdown: +6. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event contains Kalshi markets on fantasy points for the Carolina vs Philadelphia game [1]. Each market asks whether a named player or defense will score above a stated threshold. A market resolves to Yes if the player "records above Y fantasy points in the Full game, including overtime" [1]. Scoring follows Sleeper's default full-PPR format, and players who do not play or lack a Sleeper value are treated as scoring 0 points [1]. The total used is the one Sleeper publishes at expiration, "with no additional rounding, and corrections after expiration are not considered" [1].
Timing needs care. The market rows list an end date of 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z, while the provider event states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The rules also describe the game as "originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026" and say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. This snapshot does not establish which timing governs settlement.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the record was retrieved at 06:13:24.664Z the same day [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. No volume figures are used here, and volume would not indicate liquidity or trader count in any case.
Dameon Pierce: Over 9.1 fantasy points had the highest Yes price in the sample, at 0.625 [1]. CAR Panthers D/ST: Over 8.5 fantasy points and Chuba Hubbard: Over 16.6 fantasy points were both at 0.395 [1]. Each contract uses a different player or unit and a different threshold, so these differences compare separate questions, not one shared outcome. In every row, the Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 [1].
All 11 markets for this event are included, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. The source still cautions that its listing "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one platform appears, so no cross-platform comparison is made.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not include the game's current status beyond the rule wording, any actual fantasy totals, Sleeper's published totals, or a settlement result [1]. The end-time discrepancy is unresolved. Because these prices are a single observation, they may not reflect later conditions, and the evidence gives no reason for any price level.
References
- Kalshi: Carolina vs Philadelphia: Fantasy Points. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a fantasy points market from Kalshi for a Carolina versus Philadelphia Pro Football game. Each market asks whether a named player or defense will record more than a stated number of fantasy points. The provider rules say that if the player in question records above the stated total in the full game, including overtime, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The rules refer to the game as originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1]. The rules describe the scheduled date only and do not state when or whether the game was played. The provider uses Sleeper's default full-PPR scoring for these markets [1]. The rules list point values for passing, rushing and receiving yards and touchdowns, receptions, kicking, and defense and special teams [1]. Passing yards earn 0.04 points per yard, rushing and receiving yards earn 0.1 points per yard, and each reception earns 1 point [1]. Defense and special teams scoring includes sacks, interceptions, fumble recoveries and points allowed, with points allowed scored on a tiered scale [1]. Because the scoring rules are detailed, the same statistical line can produce different totals under a different fantasy format, which the rules address by specifying this scoring system [1]. The rules also set how a result is determined. Players who do not play, or who are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, are treated as scoring 0 fantasy points [1]. The fantasy-point total that Sleeper publishes at expiration is used, with no additional rounding, and corrections published after expiration are not considered [1]. The market closes and expires early if the event occurs, according to the rules [1]. The market listings in the saved snapshot show each contract's Yes and No prices and an end date of October 20, 2026 at 17:00 UTC. The provider rules do not give a listed end time, so the end date in the listing should be read as a snapshot field rather than a confirmed settlement time. These prices are snapshots taken at the observation time, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single player or defense's fantasy-point total against a fixed threshold, rather than the game's final score or winner [1]. Its usefulness as a reference depends on the rules: the threshold, the scoring format, the treatment of players who do not play, and the rule that the total published at expiration governs the result [1]. Anyone reading a price should note that the scoring format used for settlement is Sleeper's default full-PPR system, not a general definition of fantasy points [1]. A price difference between two contracts on different players reflects their different thresholds and rules, so it should not be read as a mispricing without further analysis.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes result mean in these markets?
According to the provider rules, the market resolves to Yes if the named player records more than the stated fantasy points in the full game, including overtime [1].
Which scoring system determines the fantasy points?
The markets use Sleeper's default full-PPR scoring, and the rules list the point values for each category of play [1].
What happens if a player does not play?
Players who do not play, or who are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, are treated as scoring 0 fantasy points [1].
Which total is used to settle the market?
The fantasy-point total published by Sleeper at expiration is used with no additional rounding, and corrections after expiration are not considered [1].
Does an early end affect the market?
The rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
