HYPE Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET
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HYPE Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "HYPE Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET," in the Crypto category [1]. The market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair. The source states that the market concerns "the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A price on another exchange or pair therefore does not describe this contract's outcome, even if it looks similar.
The listed end time is 2026-10-21T09:00:00.000Z [1]. The excerpt does not explain how the ET time in the title maps to that UTC timestamp, so readers should check the conversion themselves before relying on it.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T09:00:05Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-19T10:00:20Z [1]. The provider reported the market as active at that time [1]. These are past observations, not live quotes.
The saved prices are Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. Because this is a single snapshot, the prices show only what the provider reported at that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The excerpt provides no volume figures, so this record says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that all saved markets for this event are included, but that "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because this contract is binary, no other outcome is listed here.
The excerpt does not explain why the prices took these values, and nothing here indicates recent news or how the price may change before the listed end time. This record also does not include the resolved result, which would require the candle to finalize on Binance.
References
- Polymarket: HYPE Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-horizon price contract on HYPE, the token traded against USDT, listed on Polymarket under the title "HYPE Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET" [1]. The contract is categorized as crypto and is listed as active by its provider [1]. Its rules state that it resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT one-hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair on its futures market [1]. The rules say the open and close shown for the relevant 1H candle on that chart will be used once the candle's data is finalized [1]. The rules also specify that the market concerns the price on Binance HYPE/USDT and not the price on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. This means a move on a different venue would not decide the outcome. The listed end time is 2026-10-21T09:00:00Z [1]. That is the time the provider lists for the contract, and the rules tie resolution to the finalized candle data rather than to any announcement. The observation used for this article was recorded at 2026-10-19T09:00:05Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T10:00:20Z [1], so it reflects the market at that earlier time and not necessarily its state now. For a contract like this, the observed prices are a snapshot of trading at one moment. They are not an executable quote and should not be read as a verified probability of an outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single direction question: whether the HYPE/USDT price on Binance is at or above its opening level for one specific hourly candle [1]. Because the rule uses greater than or equal to, a candle that closes exactly at its open resolves to "Up" [1]. The contract's value to a reader depends on understanding that it tracks one venue and one time window. Its rules explicitly exclude other exchanges and trading pairs [1], so a reader comparing it with broader HYPE price news should keep that scope in mind.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which price decides whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract uses the open and close of the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title, as displayed for the Binance HYPE/USDT pair [1].
Does the price on other exchanges affect the outcome?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT and not according to other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
When does the contract close?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-21T09:00:00.000Z [1]. The rules say resolution uses the finalized data for the relevant candle, so the listed time is the reference point for the contract rather than a separate announced event.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.