HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET
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HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET," in the Crypto category [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is Binance's HYPE/USDT pair, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a contract on another exchange or pair should expect different measurement rules.
The listed end time is 2026-10-29T05:00:00.000Z [1]. The title refers to 12AM ET, and the excerpt does not explain how those two time references relate. Readers should use the listed end time and the rule text, not the title alone, when checking when the candle is measured.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-27T07:59:01.819Z [1]. These are different times, and both describe the past relative to the moment you read this. The provider status at observation was "active" [1].
The saved prices were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the two outcomes are equal in this snapshot, the data shows no difference between them at that observation time. The evidence does not explain the prices or indicate what drove them.
Coverage is limited to one market. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. This means every saved market for this event is included. It does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show prices after 06:00 UTC on October 27, 2026, so it cannot describe current pricing. It also contains no volume or liquidity data, so it cannot indicate how easily a position could be entered or exited. The excerpt does not report the number of traders, any recent news, or any reason for the price level.
The resolution outcome is not in the evidence. The contract had not resolved in the supplied material. Comparing this contract with another platform's Bitcoin, Ethereum, or other HYPE contract would require checking each one's wording, time window, and resolution source. Differing prices across such contracts should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without that comparison.
References
- Polymarket: HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on HYPE, the token traded against USDT. It asks whether the price on one specific one-hour candle will finish at or above where it started. The contract is titled "HYPE Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET" and is listed in the Crypto category [1]. The rule is simple. The market resolves to "Up" if the closing price of the one-hour candle is greater than or equal to its opening price. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The candle is the one that begins at the time and date shown in the title, so the contract concerns that single hour and not a longer trend. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair on Binance's futures market. The open and close shown for the relevant 1H candle on that chart are used once the candle's data is finalized [1]. The contract states that it tracks the Binance HYPE/USDT price only, not prices on other exchanges or other trading pairs [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should therefore check which venue and pair it refers to. The listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-29T05:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the time recorded in the contract data. It is not evidence of when the candle opened or closed, and it should not be read as a confirmed resolution time. The saved snapshot recorded both outcomes, Up and Down, at a price of 0.5 each. That observation is dated to 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z [1]. It shows how the market was priced at that saved moment. It is not a live quote, and it is not a verified probability of the candle closing higher or lower.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether HYPE's Binance HYPE/USDT price closes at or above its opening level for one specified one-hour candle [1]. Its value lies in the narrow, precisely defined question it poses. Because the rule names a single exchange, a single trading pair, and a single candle, the outcome depends on those specific details [1]. Prices on the contract reflect how participants valued the Up and Down outcomes at the time of the saved snapshot, and they should be read with that timing in mind [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to Up if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT one-hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price source does the contract use?
The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair. Prices on other exchanges or trading pairs are not used for this contract [1].
When are the open and close values taken?
The open and close shown at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1].
What end time does the provider list?
The provider data lists an end time of 2026-10-29T05:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the recorded listing time and does not confirm when the candle's data will be finalized.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.