Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T12:00:06.173Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "SC Recife vs. Goiás EC - More Markets," which the source describes as a Brazil Serie B game [1]. The 12 included contracts are Over/Under lines at 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5, a first-half Over/Under 0.5, a team-specific "SC Recife Over/Under 0.5," and several spread contracts at different handicaps [1]. These contracts do not measure the same outcome, so their prices should be read separately.

Each included market lists the same end time, 2026-11-14T19:30:00.000Z [1]. This is a provider field, not a confirmed resolution time. The source also says the game was "originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event)" [1]. That wording describes the schedule when the market was created. The evidence does not confirm the current kickoff time or any later change.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-03T12:00:06.173Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-03T12:32:53.883Z [1]. These are snapshot values, not live quotes or verified probabilities.

Most included prices sit close to 0.5. For example, the full-game Over/Under 0.5 shows Over at 0.535 and Under at 0.465, while the first-half Over/Under 0.5 shows Over at 0.51 and Under at 0.49 [1]. The Over/Under 2.5 market lists both sides at 0.5 [1]. Compare prices only within the same contract wording. A few cents' difference between a full-game line and a first-half line reflects different questions, not a mispricing.

Each spread contract lists a team and a handicap, with the two sides priced at 0.495 and 0.505 [1]. The evidence does not explain why any price moved, and it does not show how many traders hold these positions or how much liquidity sits behind them. Volume is not included as a measure of liquidity or trader count.

What remains uncertain

The sample is partial. The source reports 12 included markets out of 46 for this event [1]. The selection ordered markets by Yes price, then volume, so the omitted 34 markets cannot be assumed to have lower prices. The evidence also includes only one platform, so no cross-platform comparison is supported. Even where prices differ between contracts, that difference does not establish an arbitrage opportunity.

The evidence does not include any match result, team news, or confirmed resolution. It also does not establish whether the scheduled kickoff has changed since market creation.

References

1. Polymarket: SC Recife vs. Goiás EC - More Markets. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T12:00:06.173Z.