Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global

YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
Vol

K 0 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

15

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

15

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Oct 16 - Oct 22, 2026 If X is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Oct 16 - Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube. Any references to YouTube or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

This saved analysis is awaiting a background update. Its prices and claims may be outdated; compare them with the dated market data above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Kalshi event "YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global" covers the chart dated Oct 9 - Oct 15, 2026 [1]. Each listed contract asks whether one named song will rank first. The source states: "If X is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Oct 9 - Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The source also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. Readers should note that the contract resolves on the chart for this specific week, not on any general popularity measure.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T01:51:40.362Z [1]. These figures describe that snapshot only and should not be read as live prices.

In the included markets, every contract shows a Yes price of 0.475 and a No price of 0.525 [1]. Because the values are identical, this snapshot does not distinguish between the songs. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The event lists 15 markets, and 12 are included, so this is a partial sample [1]. The sample was selected by Yes price, then volume. The three omitted markets have no prices shown in this evidence, so nothing can be inferred about them. The sample should not be compared with markets from other events or platforms.

The listed endDate for each market is 2027-10-15T14:00:00.000Z [1]. The source excerpt, however, gives the listed end time as "not supplied" [1]. The endDate field is contract data, not an announced event date, and the early-close clause means the market may end before that field indicates.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include the chart result, trading volume for the included markets, or the number of traders. It therefore cannot support statements about liquidity or agreement among participants. It also gives no reason for the prices. Comparisons with other platforms would require separate, comparable sources, since differences in wording and close times can change what each contract measures.

References

  1. Kalshi: YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

Overview

The contract is titled "YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global" and is listed in the Entertainment category. Its rules state that if a candidate is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Oct 9 - Oct 15, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each candidate has its own Yes or No contract asking whether that one song or artist holds the top position for that chart date. The timing has several parts that should be kept apart. The rules identify the chart by its date range, Oct 9 - Oct 15, 2026 [1]. The provider's observation of the event is recorded at 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the source record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T01:51:40.348Z [1]. These times describe when the record was captured. They do not establish when the chart was published or when the contract will resolve. The provider lists the event as active, and the listed end time is not supplied [1]. The contract data also carries an end date of 2027-10-15 for each market. That field is part of the contract record, not an announced chart release or event date, so it should not be read as the day the ranking appears. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The rules include a non-endorsement statement. They say YouTube has not endorsed the market or the products, and that references to YouTube are descriptive only and do not indicate affiliation between YouTube and the provider [1]. The market snapshot shows twelve of fifteen candidate markets for this event. In that saved snapshot, each included market lists a Yes price of 0.475 and a No price of 0.525. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the included markets show the same prices, the snapshot does not distinguish between candidates. The three omitted markets are not shown, so nothing can be inferred about them. The Wikipedia excerpts retrieved alongside this topic describe two separate songs, "Stupid Song" by Olivia Rodrigo [2] and "Flowers" by Miley Cyrus [3]. Neither excerpt describes this chart, its ranking method, or its contract rules, so they do not inform how this market resolves.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a single outcome: whether a named candidate is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart for the period Oct 9 - Oct 15, 2026 [1]. Its value depends on the chart for that specific date range, not on the general popularity of a song or on any other chart. Traders can read the contract's price as a market snapshot of expectations about that outcome, but the price alone does not show how many people are trading or how easily a position could be executed. The contract also shows that resolution follows the provider's stated rule for the named chart, so anyone reading it should check that rule rather than assume how a chart works [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What event decides whether the Yes outcome resolves?

The market resolves to Yes if the named candidate is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Oct 9 - Oct 15, 2026 [1].

Does the chart date tell me when the market will close?

No. The rules name the chart date that determines the outcome and state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs. The provider lists the end time as not supplied [1].

Does YouTube endorse this market?

The rules state that the market and its products have not been endorsed by YouTube, and that references to YouTube are descriptive only [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market