Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHISports

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th Quarter Spread

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Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th Quarter Spread

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 1.5 points?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 1.5 points?	Kalshi	40.0%
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 2.5 points?	Kalshi	38.0%
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 2.5 points?	Kalshi	34.0%
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 3.5 points?	Kalshi	32.5%
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 3.5 points?	Kalshi	29.0%
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 6.5 points?	Kalshi	25.0%
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 6.5 points?	Kalshi	22.0%
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 7.5 points?	Kalshi	11.0%
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 7.5 points?	Kalshi	9.5%
Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 10.5 points?	Kalshi	7.0%
Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 10.5 points?	Kalshi	6.5%

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Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

PIT vs TB (Oct 18) If Tampa Bay wins by more than X points in the 4th Quarter, excluding overtime, of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter, excluding overtime, of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay: 4th Quarter Spread 
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 11 of 11 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 7.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-TB8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tampa Bay wins by more than 7.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 6.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-TB7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tampa Bay wins by more than 6.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 3.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-TB4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 29.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 71.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tampa Bay wins by more than 3.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 2.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-TB3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 34.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tampa Bay wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Tampa Bay wins 4Q by over 10.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-TB11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tampa Bay wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 7.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-PIT8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pittsburgh wins by more than 7.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 6.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-PIT7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 25.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pittsburgh wins by more than 6.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 3.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-PIT4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 32.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 67.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pittsburgh wins by more than 3.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 2.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-PIT3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 38.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 62.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pittsburgh wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 1.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-PIT2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pittsburgh wins by more than 1.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Pittsburgh wins 4Q by over 10.5 points?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNFL4QSPREAD-26OCT18PITTB-PIT11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfl4qspread-26oct18pittb
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pittsburgh wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime)  of play count towards this market.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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