Atlanta vs Golden State: 2nd Quarter Spread
K 3.04 contracts
1
7
Atlanta vs Golden State: 2nd Quarter Spread
K 3.04 contracts
1
7
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Golden State wins by over 1.5 points at 42%.
Kalshi
- Golden State wins by over 1.5 points42%
- Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points41.5%
- Golden State wins by over 3.5 points31.5%
- Atlanta wins by over 3.5 points31%
- Golden State wins by over 6.5 points18%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 3.04 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
7
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
ATL at GS (Oct 26) If Golden State wins by more than X points in the 2nd quarter of the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days. If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi rules state that if Golden State wins by more than X points in the 2nd quarter of the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The excerpt does not specify X, so the thresholds below come from the individual market titles, which range from 1.5 to 9.5 points for each team [1]. Each title is a separate contract on the second-quarter margin, not the full-game result.
The rules also cover schedule changes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, within 2 days. If the game is not played or is rescheduled more than 2 days out, all markets resolve to a fair price under the rules [1]. The excerpt lists "Provider status: active" and "Listed end time: not supplied" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T07:00:16Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation, not current market conditions.
Seven Kalshi markets are included, and the coverage record marks the sample as complete for this event [1]. The Yes prices were 0.395 for Golden State over 1.5 points, 0.375 for Atlanta over 1.5, 0.355 for Golden State over 3.5, 0.345 for Atlanta over 3.5, 0.235 for Golden State over 6.5, 0.235 for Atlanta over 6.5, and 0.155 for Golden State over 9.5 [1].
These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two sides at each threshold do not sum to 1 in this snapshot. Because they are different contracts on different margins, differing prices should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity. The sample also includes no Atlanta over 9.5 market. The source notes that its sample "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], so a missing outcome should not be read as having a lower price.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are at these levels. Volume and trader counts are not supplied, so liquidity and the level of agreement cannot be assessed. Only one provider appears here, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Each contract lists an end date of 2026-10-22T00:00:00.000Z [1], but the rules tie closing to the declared winner and to postponement terms. Treat that date as a data field to check against the rules, not as a confirmed close or resolution. The game result itself is not in the evidence.
References
- Kalshi: Atlanta vs Golden State: 2nd Quarter Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a sports spread contract on the second quarter of a women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026. The contract is listed on Kalshi under the event title "Atlanta vs Golden State: 2nd Quarter Spread" [1]. The provider's rules say that if Golden State wins the second quarter by more than a stated number of points, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event contains several markets at different point thresholds, with separate contracts for each team [1]. Each market asks whether the named team wins the second quarter by more than its threshold. The thresholds shown in the saved markets are 1.5, 3.5, 6.5 and 9.5 points [1]. The rules also address schedule changes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days [1]. If the cancelled game is not played, or is rescheduled more than 2 days out, all markets resolve to a fair price under the rules [1]. The provider also states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved records list an end date of October 22, 2026 for these markets, but that date appears in the market data and is not a stated event date. The actual close depends on when the game finishes and the winner is declared under the rules above [1]. The Kalshi event states that the platform is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1]. The saved market data records all seven markets in this event as included, with no partial sample for this event. The dated snapshot shows the prices at the time the provider was observed, which is not the same as live trading. A snapshot price is not an executable quote or a verified probability of the outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single segment of the game, the second quarter, and asks whether one team outscores the other by more than a set number of points within that quarter [1]. Because each threshold is a separate contract, the set of markets shows how the price changes at different margins [1]. Traders and readers can compare these snapshot prices with the contract rules, but the rules define the only settlement criteria. A different contract on the same game, such as one about the full game or a different quarter, would have its own rules and should not be read as the same question.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract actually ask?
It asks whether the named team wins the second quarter of the Atlanta vs Golden State game by more than the stated number of points. The Golden State version resolves to Yes if Golden State wins the second quarter by more than X points, where X is the threshold in that market [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days. If the game is not played or is rescheduled more than 2 days out, all markets resolve to a fair price under the rules [1].
Is the platform connected to the league?
No. The Kalshi event states that the platform is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
Does a listed price show the chance that the outcome will happen?
Not by itself. The listed prices are snapshots from the provider at the observed time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they should be read alongside the contract rules [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
