Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

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$748.61

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Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

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Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?	Kalshi	97%
Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?	Kalshi	92%
Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?	Kalshi	77%
Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?	Kalshi	53%
Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?	Kalshi	30%
Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?	Kalshi	12%
Will James Talarico receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?	Kalshi	5%
Will James Talarico receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?	Kalshi	3%

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97%

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$748.61

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About This Event

Vote Percent - James Talarico If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not prelimi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - James Talarico

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not prelimi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $749
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will James Talarico receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will James Talarico receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will James Talarico receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $303
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $406
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

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KALSHI

Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

KALSHI

Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

KALSHI

Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.5¢No 22.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

KALSHI

Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

KALSHI

Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified pe

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/CR6Cke" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent"></iframe>

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Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

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Events (1)

Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

Markets (8)

Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

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Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent

Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

Will James Talarico receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Collin County, Texas?

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