Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHISports

Washington vs Michigan St.: 4th Quarter Spread

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Washington vs Michigan St.: 4th Quarter Spread

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Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Washington wins by over 1.5 points at 41%.

Kalshi

Washington wins by over 1.5 points41%
Washington wins by over 2.5 points37%
Washington wins by over 3.5 points32%
Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points27%
Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points20%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Washington wins 4Q by over 1.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Washington wins 4Q by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	41.0%
Washington wins 4Q by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	37.0%
Washington wins 4Q by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	32.0%
Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	27.0%
Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	20.0%
Washington wins 4Q by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	19.5%
Washington wins 4Q by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	16.0%
Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	14.5%
Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	10.0%
Washington wins 4Q by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	8.0%
Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	6.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

WASH vs MSU (Nov 14) If Washington wins by more than X points in the 4th quarter, excluding overtime, of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter, excluding overtime, of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Washington vs Michigan St.: 4th Quarter Spread
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 11 of 11 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Washington wins 4Q by over 7.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-WASH8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Washington wins by more than 7.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Washington wins 4Q by over 6.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-WASH7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 19.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Washington wins by more than 6.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Washington wins 4Q by over 3.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-WASH4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 32.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 68.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Washington wins by more than 3.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Washington wins 4Q by over 2.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-WASH3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 37.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 63.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Washington wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Washington wins 4Q by over 1.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-WASH2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Washington wins by more than 1.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Washington wins 4Q by over 10.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-WASH11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Washington wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 7.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-MSU8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Michigan St. wins by more than 7.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 6.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-MSU7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 14.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Michigan St. wins by more than 6.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 3.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-MSU4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 20.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Michigan St. wins by more than 3.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 2.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-MSU3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 27.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 73.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Michigan St. wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Michigan St. wins 4Q by over 10.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAF4QSPREAD-26NOV14WASHMSU-MSU11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaf4qspread-26nov14washmsu
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 16, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Michigan St. wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Michigan St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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