Name: Super Rugby Pacific: Moana Pasifika vs Blues
End: 2026-05-09T07:05:00.000Z

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Super Rugby Pacific: Moana Pasifika vs Blues | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Moana Pasifika win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Moana Pasifika win?	Poly	52%
Will Blues win?	Poly	49%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	7%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Super Rugby Pacific: Moana Pasifika vs Blues
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 9, 2026 (22 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Super Rugby Pacific match between Moana Pasifika and Blues, scheduled for May 2 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2 2026
If Moana Pasifika wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, thi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $312
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Moana Pasifika win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Blues win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 9, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

21d 17h remaining

May 09, 2026 7:05 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

36¢

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Super Rugby Pacific: Moana Pasifika vs Blues

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Will Moana Pasifika win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Super Rugby Pacific: Moana Pasifika vs Blues

Markets (3)

Will Moana Pasifika win?

Will Moana Pasifika win?

Will Blues win?

Will Blues win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Moana Pasifika win?

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Super Rugby Pacific: Moana Pasifika vs Blues

Will Moana Pasifika win?

Will Moana Pasifika win?

Will Blues win?

Will Blues win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Discussion

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