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Events
GroupKALSHI

Den Bosch vs Maastricht

Den Bosch vs Maastricht
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

3

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

DBO vs MAA (Oct 23) If X wins the Den Bosch vs Maastricht professional Eerste Divisie soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Den Bosch vs Maastricht professional Eerste Divisie soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Kalshi event covers the Den Bosch vs Maastricht professional Eerste Divisie soccer game, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 [1]. The source says that the game is judged "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. The three markets are "Den Bosch wins," "Tie is the result," and "Maastricht wins," each with a Yes and a No side [1].

The rules also address cancellation and rescheduling. If the game is "cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. Readers should check that clause before comparing these markets with any other contract on a different event or platform, because cancellation handling can differ.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T05:29:58Z [1]. It is a record of past quoted prices, not a live quote, and it is not an executable price. The Yes prices were approximately 0.435 for Den Bosch, 0.43 for a tie, and 0.43 for Maastricht [1]. Because these three Yes prices sum to more than 1, they should not be read as a calibrated probability distribution.

The market records list an end date of 2026-10-25T18:00:00Z for all three markets [1]. The source excerpt, however, states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The end date in the market data is a listed close time, not confirmed resolution timing. The excerpt also says the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1], so the actual resolution depends on the match outcome.

The coverage record shows 3 of 3 markets included from this one provider event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The sample warning still says that the saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. This snapshot includes only Kalshi, so no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why these prices are where they are, and it does not show trading volume, liquidity, or how many traders hold each position. The excerpt does not give the actual match date or time, so the listed close date should not be treated as a confirmed event date. Whether the game is played as scheduled, cancelled, or rescheduled is not established by the supplied material. Readers should check the current provider page before relying on any price.

References

  1. Kalshi: Den Bosch vs Maastricht. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi contract tied to the professional Eerste Divisie soccer game between Den Bosch and Maastricht, which the provider lists as originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 [1]. The contract groups three binary markets under one event: one asks whether Den Bosch wins, one asks whether the game ends in a tie, and one asks whether Maastricht wins [1]. Each market has a Yes and a No outcome, and the prices shown are provider snapshots rather than executable quotes or verified probabilities. The rules define the result by the score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded, so a match that is level after regulation counts as a tie for the purposes of the tie market [1]. The provider states that the tie market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie, which means the Den Bosch and Maastricht markets would not resolve to Yes in that case [1]. The rules also address cancellation and rescheduling. If the game is cancelled, or is rescheduled to a time more than 48 hours away, the markets resolve to a fair price under the provider's rules rather than to a simple win or loss [1]. The provider's rules also say that the market closes and expires once a winner is declared [1]. The provider notes that it is not affiliated with the governing league and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. The saved provider record does not include a listed end time for the event, so the event's end should be read from the official rules rather than from any market date field [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures a single regulation-time result for one scheduled match. Because each of the three markets is binary, the Den Bosch market, the tie market, and the Maastricht market are separate questions that can each resolve Yes or No, but the rules define them around the same 90-minute scoreline [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the exact wording on regulation time, the exclusion of extra time and penalties, and the cancellation rule, because these determine how a given result is settled [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Does extra time or a penalty shootout affect how the contract settles?

No. The rules count the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and exclude extra time and penalties [1]. A game that is level after regulation counts as a tie for the tie market [1].

What happens if the game is cancelled or rescheduled?

If the game is cancelled, or rescheduled to a time more than 48 hours away, the markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with the provider's rules [1]. The rules do not describe that fair price in the saved record, so the full settlement method should be checked in the official rules [1].

When does the market close?

The provider says the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved record does not supply a separate listed end time for the event [1].

Is the contract a verified probability of each result?

No. The prices shown are snapshots from the provider at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Prices also should not be compared across contracts as an arbitrage signal without checking each contract's rules [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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