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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Kozachuk Ivan vs. Shcherbak Denys

Kozachuk Ivan vs. Shcherbak Denys
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Markets

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

5

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Kozachuk Ivan and Shcherbak Denys in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 22 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kozachuk Ivan' if Kozachuk Ivan wins against Shcherbak Denys. This market will resolve to 'Shcherbak Denys' if Shcherbak Denys wins against Kozachuk Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T09:00:06.090Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied evidence covers one table tennis match, Kozachuk Ivan vs. Shcherbak Denys in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event, scheduled for October 20 at 5:25AM ET [1]. The main winner market "will resolve to 'Kozachuk Ivan' if Kozachuk Ivan wins against Shcherbak Denys" [1]. The total games markets cover over or under 3.5 and 4.5 games, and two game handicap markets are also included [1].

The rules set several special cases. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is "delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined," the market resolves to 50-50. A walkover also resolves to 50-50. If a match begins but one player advances because of retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to that player [1]. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event," with a "consensus of credible reporting" used only if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion [1].

Reading the snapshot

The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-20T09:00:06.090Z and retrieved on 2026-10-21 [1]. These are prices from that earlier observation, not live prices. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T09:25:00.000Z for all five markets [1], which is the provider's stated close time and not a confirmed resolution date.

The recorded prices are:

  • Total games, over or under 3.5: Over 0.505, Under 0.495 [1].
  • Total games, over or under 4.5: Over 0.505, Under 0.495 [1].
  • Match winner: Kozachuk Ivan 0.50, Shcherbak Denys 0.50 [1].
  • Game handicap (Kozachuk Ivan -1.5): both sides 0.50 [1].
  • Game handicap (Shcherbak Denys -1.5): both sides 0.50 [1].

These are single-platform snapshots. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be treated as verified probabilities. The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and it does not show how many traders are involved.

What remains uncertain

The sample includes all five saved Polymarket markets for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. That does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. The evidence contains no other platform, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.

The evidence does not show whether the match was played, its result, or whether any 50-50 condition applied. It also does not confirm which statistics source was ultimately used. A reader should check the provider's current status and final official statistics before drawing conclusions.

References

  1. Polymarket: Kozachuk Ivan vs. Shcherbak Denys. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T09:00:06.090Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a table tennis match between Kozachuk Ivan and Shcherbak Denys, part of the Setka Cup Ukraine Men competition. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 20 at 5:25AM ET [1]. The event page's listed end time is 2026-10-27 at 09:25 UTC, which is a contract closing time rather than the time the match was played [1]. The main contract asks which player wins the match. It resolves to the named player who wins against the other [1]. The rules also set out several non-standard outcomes. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match starts but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. The saved event includes five markets. Two are total games over or under markets, one at 3.5 and one at 4.5 [1]. Two are game handicap markets, one with Kozachuk Ivan at -1.5 and one with Shcherbak Denys at -1.5 [1]. The remaining market is the head-to-head winner contract. All five markets were included in the saved sample, so the sample covers every market saved for this event. The saved prices were recorded at a provider observation time of 2026-10-20 09:00 UTC, and the source was retrieved on 2026-10-21. These prices are snapshots from that earlier time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not indicate the current state of the match or the market.

Why It Matters

The contract is a prediction market on a single table tennis match. Its winner market measures which named player wins [1]. The additional markets in the saved event ask about the total number of games, with lines at 3.5 and 4.5, and about game handicaps of 1.5 for each player [1]. The rules matter because they determine how cancellations, walkovers, retirements, and unfinished matches settle. They also specify which result sources are used and when a consensus of reporting can substitute for official statistics [1]. Readers should check these rules directly on the event page, since the outcome of a non-standard situation depends on them [1].

Snapshot context

The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-20 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Who does the winner market resolve to?

It resolves to Kozachuk Ivan if that player wins the match against Shcherbak Denys, and to Shcherbak Denys if that player wins against Kozachuk Ivan [1].

What happens if the match is canceled or not played?

If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover where one player withdraws before the start also resolves 50-50 [1].

What happens if a player retires during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

Where does the resolution information come from?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].

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Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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