Dumitriu Vitaliy vs. Goncharov Dmitri
PM $0
1
5
Dumitriu Vitaliy vs. Goncharov Dmitri
PM $0
1
5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Dumitriu Vitaliy and Goncharov Dmitri in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 16 at 4:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dumitriu Vitaliy' if Dumitriu Vitaliy wins against Goncharov Dmitri. This market will resolve to 'Goncharov Dmitri' if Goncharov Dmitri wins against Dumitriu Vitaliy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event covers a table tennis match between Dumitriu Vitaliy and Goncharov Dmitri in the Setka Cup Moldova Men, described as "scheduled for October 16 at 4:45PM ET" [1]. The winner market resolves to the named player who wins. A cancelled match, a tie, a walkover, or a delay "beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined" resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but does not finish and one player advances due to retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Resolution relies on "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." If those are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-23T20:45:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:27:27.921Z [1]. They describe that saved observation, not a current quote.
Five markets are saved for this event, and all five are included [1]. The total games Over/Under 3.5 line shows Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495. The Over/Under 4.5 line shows the same values [1]. The match winner is 0.5 for each player [1]. Two game handicap markets, one framed around Dumitriu Vitaliy (-1.5) and one around Goncharov Dmitri (-1.5), each show 0.5 for both outcomes [1].
These are quoted contract prices, not executable prices or verified probabilities. The two over/under lines are separate contracts and should not be merged. Likewise, the handicap markets are separate contracts with mirrored wording. Differences in price between contracts are not, by themselves, an arbitrage opportunity. Volume is not reported here and says nothing about liquidity or trader numbers.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers only the saved markets for this one provider event. The source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence does not show whether the match has started, finished, or been delayed, and it does not explain any price movement. The final result will depend on the official statistics or the fallback described in the rules [1]. No other platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is made.
References
- Polymarket: Dumitriu Vitaliy vs. Goncharov Dmitri. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a men's table tennis match between Dumitriu Vitaliy and Goncharov Dmitri in the Setka Cup Moldova Men competition [1]. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 16 at 4:45PM ET [1]. That scheduled time is part of the event description and does not confirm that the match was played, delayed, or finished. The contract is a head-to-head winner market. It resolves to 'Dumitriu Vitaliy' if that player wins, and to 'Goncharov Dmitri' if the other player wins [1]. The same event includes related markets on total games (over or under 3.5 and 4.5) and game handicaps at plus or minus 1.5 games [1]. These are separate contracts with their own outcomes, so one should not be read as a forecast of another. The rules set out several special cases. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed because a player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the player who advances is the winner [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2026-10-23T20:45:00.000Z [1].
Why It Matters
The winner contract measures which of the two named players wins the match, under the resolution rules in the event description [1]. Because the rules treat cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, walkovers, and early finishes differently, the contract's outcome depends on how the match concludes, not only on who is stronger on the day [1]. The related total games and handicap markets measure the number of games and the margin of games, which may be useful to compare with the winner contract but are settled under their own rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled and not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where one player withdraws before the start, also resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed because a player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source decides the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
When does the contract end?
The event lists an end time of 2026-10-23T20:45:00.000Z [1]. The rules also say a match delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner resolves 50-50 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
