GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties

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$0.00

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Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

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4 markets tracked

Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?	Kalshi	43%
Will at least 2 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?	Kalshi	11%
Will at least 3 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?	Kalshi	2%
Will exactly 4 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

43%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

QF - 2026 If at least X matches are decided by a penalty shootout in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the number of matches in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup that remain tied after extra time and are subsequently decided by a penalty shootout. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descript

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** QF - 2026

If at least X matches are decided by a penalty shootout in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the number of matches in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup that remain tied after extra time and are subsequently decided by a penalty shootout. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descript

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If exactly 4 matches are decided by a penalty shootout in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of matches in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup that remain tied after extra time "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will exactly 4 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will at least 3 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will at least 2 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties

Volume$0.00

Markets4

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KALSHI

Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHISports

Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

If at least 1 match is decided by a penalty shootout in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of matches in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup that remain tied after extra time an

KALSHI

Will at least 2 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHISports

Will at least 2 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

If at least 2 matches are decided by a penalty shootout in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of matches in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup that remain tied after extra time

KALSHI

Will at least 3 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHISports

Will at least 3 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

If at least 3 matches are decided by a penalty shootout in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of matches in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup that remain tied after extra time

KALSHI

Will exactly 4 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHISports

Will exactly 4 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

If exactly 4 matches are decided by a penalty shootout in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the number of matches in the Quarterfinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup that remain tied after extra time

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14¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/D4iw_2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties"></iframe>

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Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties

Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties

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Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties

Markets (4)

Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 2 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 2 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 3 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 3 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will exactly 4 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will exactly 4 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

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Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Quarterfinals: Matches to go to Penalties

Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 1 match in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 2 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 2 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 3 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will at least 3 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will exactly 4 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

Will exactly 4 matches in the Quarterfinals go to a penalty shootout?

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