Nasdaq-100 price range on Oct 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 0 contracts
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30
Nasdaq-100 price range on Oct 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K 0 contracts
1
30
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is 29,400 to 29,499.99 at 16.5%.
Kalshi
- 29,400 to 29,499.9916.5%
- 29,300 to 29,399.9915.5%
- 29,500 to 29,599.9914.5%
- 29,200 to 29,299.9914.5%
- 29,600 to 29,699.999.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
30
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Oct 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on October 27, 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 27, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 27, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event is a set of Kalshi markets on the Nasdaq-100 index. The source states that "If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on October 27, 2026 is X Y then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each market covers a different numeric band, so the markets are not alternative versions of one question. The excerpt also says "The market will close on October 27, 2026" and "The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 27, 2026" [1]. The excerpt lists the end time as "not supplied," but the market records show an endDate of 2026-11-03T23:00:00.000Z [1]. That date is a data field, not a confirmed event time, so readers should check the full rulebook before relying on it. The rules also note that the exchange "has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets" [1], which readers should review directly.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T06:42:52.589Z [1]. It is a record from early on that date, not a live quote. Prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The saved sample includes 12 of 30 markets for this event [1]. Among the included markets, Yes prices range from 0.10 to 0.14. The highest is the band from 29200 to 29299.9900, at 0.14. The band from 29100 to 29199.9900 is at 0.135, and the band from 29300 to 29399.9900 is at 0.13. The open-ended "above 30299.9900" market is at 0.10 [1].
The sample is ranked by Yes price, then volume, so the included markets are the top of the provider's ordering for this event [1]. The 18 omitted markets are not described here, so the sample cannot show their prices or describe the full field. Volume is not liquidity or a count of traders, and the price gaps shown are small, so differences between adjacent bands should not be treated as meaningful.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not report news, trader counts, or the historical accuracy of this kind of market. The 18 omitted markets are unknown. The listed end time conflicts with the rule text's description of the close and expiry. Because each band is a different contract, prices across bands should not be averaged or compared as arbitrage. Only one provider source is supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
References
- Kalshi: Nasdaq-100 price range on Oct 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT?. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event that asks where the end-of-day Nasdaq-100 index value will fall on October 27, 2026 at 4pm EDT [1]. The event is organized as a set of range contracts. Each contract asks whether the index will land inside one numeric band, so a trader choosing among them is choosing a range of index values rather than a direction. The provider rules state that a contract resolves to Yes if the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on October 27, 2026 falls within the specified range, and that the market will close on that date [1]. The rules also set an expiration structure. According to the provider, a market expires at the sooner of the first release of the data or one week after October 27, 2026 [1]. The market records in the saved snapshot list an end date of November 3, 2026 at 23:00 UTC [1]. That value appears in the provider's market data as a listed end date. It is a contract timing field, not an announced event, and it should not be read as a settlement announcement or as confirmation of when the official value will be published. The rules say the exchange has modified the source agency and underlying for index markets under the Kalshi Rulebook [1]. Readers who need to know which published index value would be used should consult the full rules rather than relying on this summary, because the excerpt does not restate the modified terms. The prices attached to these contracts are snapshot values from the provider's observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome [1]. Trading volume reported in provider data measures activity in a market, not liquidity or the number of participants. The snapshot also predates the 4pm EDT reference time, so it describes conditions at observation rather than at settlement.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single number: the end-of-day value of the Nasdaq-100 index on October 27, 2026, as defined by the provider's rules [1]. Because each range contract is tied to one band of index values, the event shows how a market can be divided into adjacent price bands that each resolve independently. For someone studying prediction markets, the event illustrates how contract wording, reference time, source definitions, and expiration rules determine what a yes or no outcome actually means. The rules tie resolution to the stated end-of-day reference rather than to any intraday level, which is the detail that matters most when interpreting the market.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Nasdaq-100 range contract in this event resolve on?
A contract resolves to Yes if the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on October 27, 2026 falls within the range named in the contract, and the market is set to close on that date [1].
When does the market expire?
The provider rules say the market expires at the sooner of the first release of the data or one week after October 27, 2026 [1]. The saved market records list a November 3, 2026 end date at 23:00 UTC, which is a provider field rather than an announced release time [1].
Do the prices show the chance that the index lands in a given range?
No. The prices are snapshots taken at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
Why does this summary include only some of the contracts in the event?
The saved event lists 30 markets, and 12 are included in the sample. The inclusion rule ranks markets by reported Yes price and then by volume, so the sample is partial and does not describe the full set of ranges [1]. No conclusion should be drawn about the prices of ranges that are not included.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
