Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Ray Guy Award Winner

Total Volume

$576.24

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Ray Guy Award Winner

Vol

$576.24

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $576.24

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $576.24

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

48 markets tracked

Evan Crenshaw wins the award

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(48)

Market	Platform	Price
Evan Crenshaw wins the award	Kalshi	30%
Palmer Williams wins the award	Kalshi	13%
Daniel Hughes wins the award	Kalshi	12%
Jackson Ross wins the award	Kalshi	7%
Daniel Sparks wins the award	Kalshi	7%
Alec Clark wins the award	Kalshi	7%
Ashton Logan wins the award	Kalshi	5%
Gabe Russo wins the award	Kalshi	3%
Boston Everitt wins the award	Kalshi	3%
Wade McSparron wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Tyler White wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Tyler Ebel wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Pierse Stainton wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Orion Phillips wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Oscar Doyle wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Oscar Bird wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Nate Ost wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Mikey Bukauskas wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Lucas Tenbrock wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Liam Dougherty wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Lachlan Carrigan wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Jack Smith wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Jasper Scaife wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Joe McGuire wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Jack Gray wins the award	Kalshi	2%
John Hoyet Chance wins the award	Kalshi	2%
John Butcher wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Jacob Baker wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Jack Armbruster wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Ian Hershey wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Ian French wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Hunter Green wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Grayson Miller wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Grant Chadwick wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Ethan Pulliam wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Easton Black wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Dylan Joyce wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Dante Atton wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Cole Shulman wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Carter Horton wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Cam Brown wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Bryce McFerson wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Bryan Hansen wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Billy Gowers wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Bailey Ettridge wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Bart Edmiston wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Alex Asparuhov wins the award	Kalshi	2%
Alex Abbott wins the award	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

30%

Top Probability

$576.24

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Ray Guy Award (2026) If X wins the Ray Guy Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If X does not play in the 2026 college football season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are awarded, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent, where Y is the number of awarded players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ray Guy Award Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Ray Guy Award (2026)

If X wins the Ray Guy Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. If X does not play in the 2026 college football season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are awarded, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent, where Y is the number of awarded players, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wade McSparron wins the Ray Guy Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Wade McSparron does not play in the 2026 college football season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No.

If multiple players are awarded, “Yes” posit"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $576
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Wade McSparron wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tyler White wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $116
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Tyler Ebel wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Palmer Williams wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $28
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Pierse Stainton wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Orion Phillips wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Oscar Doyle wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Oscar Bird wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Nate Ost wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Mikey Bukauskas wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Lucas Tenbrock wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Liam Dougherty wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Lachlan Carrigan wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Jack Smith wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Jasper Scaife wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Jackson Ross wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Joe McGuire wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Jack Gray wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. John Hoyet Chance wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. John Butcher wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Jacob Baker wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Jack Armbruster wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Ian Hershey wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Ian French wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Hunter Green wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Gabe Russo wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Grayson Miller wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Grant Chadwick wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Ethan Pulliam wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Evan Crenshaw wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Easton Black wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Daniel Sparks wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Dylan Joyce wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Daniel Hughes wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $31
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Dante Atton wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Cole Shulman wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Carter Horton wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Cam Brown wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Bryce McFerson wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Bryan Hansen wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Billy Gowers wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Boston Everitt wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 43. Bailey Ettridge wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. Bart Edmiston wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Ashton Logan wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 46. Alec Clark wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 47. Alex Asparuhov wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 48. Alex Abbott wins the award
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Ray Guy Award Winner

Volume$576.24

Markets48

48 of 48

Sort:

KALSHI

Evan Crenshaw wins the award

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢

KALSHISports

Evan Crenshaw wins the award

If Evan Crenshaw wins the Ray Guy Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Evan Crenshaw does not play in the 2026 college football season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are awarded, “Yes” positio

KALSHI

Palmer Williams wins the award

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHISports

Palmer Williams wins the award

If Palmer Williams wins the Ray Guy Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Palmer Williams does not play in the 2026 college football season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are awarded, “Yes” pos

KALSHI

Daniel Hughes wins the award

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHISports

Daniel Hughes wins the award

If Daniel Hughes wins the Ray Guy Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Daniel Hughes does not play in the 2026 college football season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are awarded, “Yes” positio

KALSHI

Jackson Ross wins the award

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHISports

Jackson Ross wins the award

If Jackson Ross wins the Ray Guy Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Jackson Ross does not play in the 2026 college football season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are awarded, “Yes” positions

KALSHI

Daniel Sparks wins the award

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.5¢No 93.5¢

KALSHISports

Daniel Sparks wins the award

If Daniel Sparks wins the Ray Guy Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Daniel Sparks does not play in the 2026 college football season for any reason, the market for that player resolves to No. If multiple players are awarded, “Yes” positio

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Average Yes Price

3¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/DeMJmS" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Ray Guy Award Winner"></iframe>

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Ray Guy Award Winner

Ray Guy Award Winner

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Evan Crenshaw wins the award

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Ray Guy Award Winner

Markets (48)

Evan Crenshaw wins the award

Evan Crenshaw wins the award

Palmer Williams wins the award

Palmer Williams wins the award

Daniel Hughes wins the award

Daniel Hughes wins the award

Jackson Ross wins the award

Jackson Ross wins the award

Daniel Sparks wins the award

Daniel Sparks wins the award

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Evan Crenshaw wins the award

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Ray Guy Award Winner

Evan Crenshaw wins the award

Evan Crenshaw wins the award

Palmer Williams wins the award

Palmer Williams wins the award

Daniel Hughes wins the award

Daniel Hughes wins the award

Jackson Ross wins the award

Jackson Ross wins the award

Daniel Sparks wins the award

Daniel Sparks wins the award

Related News & Context

Discussion

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