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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

Name: FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05
End: 2026-05-03T13:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$82.56K

Events

Markets

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FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

Vol

$82.56K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $82.56K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $82.56K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?	Poly	38%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?	Poly	35%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?	Poly	29%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$82.56K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026
If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $82.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.67M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $54.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $338
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $27.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between FC St. Pauli 1910 and 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Volume$82.56K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, t

POLYMARKET

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game,

POLYMARKET

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/DhO9C2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05"></iframe>

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FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

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Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

Markets (3)

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

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Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?

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