Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract is titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET" and is categorized as Crypto [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The stated resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].

The listed end time is 2026-10-22T14:15:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should check both when comparing windows. The end time describes when the contract closes, not when it has resolved. The evidence does not show a resolution outcome.

Reading the snapshot

The saved record was observed at 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z and retrieved at 2026-10-22T01:14:53.280Z [1]. These are different times, and both describe a past snapshot rather than live conditions. The saved outcomes are "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. The provider status was recorded as active [1].

The sample covers one market for this event, and the saved event is not marked as a partial sample [1]. Because only these two outcomes were saved, the snapshot does not show any other contract's price. The prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence contains no volume, liquidity, or trader count figures, so none can be inferred.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices stand at 0.5 each, and it does not show any price movement over time. It also does not show whether the contract is still open when a reader views it. Other Dogecoin contracts on other platforms may use different windows, price sources, or wording, so their prices should not be compared directly with this one.

References

1. Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.