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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?
Vol

PM $172.3

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Events

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Markets

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $172.3

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?

PM $8.6K
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 21?Yes 2.9%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?

PM $459.14
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 19?Yes 2.6%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?

PM $201.95
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 20?Yes 2.8%
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
AP calls the House by...?

AP calls the House by...?

PM $5.9K
Will AP call US House control by November 15, 11:59 PM?Yes 98.9%
Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM?Yes 97.4%
Will AP call US House control by November 30, 11:59 PM?Yes 97.2%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

K 22.8K contracts
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Dec 4, 2026?Yes 63.5%
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 27, 2026?Yes 56%
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Nov 20, 2026?Yes 49%
+4 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?

How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?

K 4.0K contracts
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 7 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 96%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 14 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 89%
Will the number of days Trump's next White House Press Secretary serves be at least 30 before they leave the role or their departure is announced?Yes 84%
+5 moreNext deadline Apr 21, 2029 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

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