Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event is "FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați - First Team to Score" on Polymarket [1]. The rules say the market "refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time," and that "Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded" [1]. The first contract resolves to "FC Botoşani" if that team scores first in that window, the second resolves to "ASC Oțelul Galați" on the same basis, and the third asks whether neither team scores first [1]. The rules also state that a canceled game with no make-up game resolves to "Neither," and that a postponed game keeps the market open until it is completed [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-09T18:00:00.000Z [1]. The rules describe the match as "scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET" [1]. This is contract text, not an independently confirmed event date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-27T01:38:47.251Z [1]. These values describe those moments and are not live prices. The saved Yes prices are 0.485 for Botoşani first, 0.485 for Oţelul Galați first, and 0.48 for neither team scoring first [1]. The matching No prices are 0.515, 0.515, and 0.52 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The three Yes prices sum to 1.45. They come from separate contracts, so that total should not be read as a probability distribution. The prices should not be averaged, and the evidence does not explain why they sit at these levels.

All three saved markets from this single Polymarket event are included, and the sample is marked as not partial [1]. The sample warning adds that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The record contains no volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or participation.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show current prices, and the "active" status is also a snapshot value [1]. Resolution depends on official statistics. If these are not published within two hours after the event, Flashscore may be used, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1]. Later revisions to officially declared final scores are not counted [1]. Because only one platform is in the evidence, no cross-platform comparison of wording or close times is possible.

References

1. Polymarket: FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z.