Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks whether Dogecoin will move up or down over a five-minute window, as defined in the event title, "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with other Dogecoin markets should check the source, the averaging method, and the time window, since these define what is being priced.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T23:35:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time, not a confirmed resolution time. The evidence does not show the final outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved market shows an "Up" price of 0.5 and a "Down" price of 0.5 [1]. The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T00:27:35.258Z [1]. These are snapshot values from those times. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities, and they do not show what a trader could buy or sell now.
The coverage record lists one market in this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there are no other outcomes to compare. The evidence does not support combining this price with prices from other Dogecoin events or other platforms, since those contracts may use different wording, windows, or close times.
The evidence contains no volume, liquidity, or trader count for this snapshot, so none can be described.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and it does not report any news or events affecting Dogecoin. It also does not establish how the Chainlink TWAP will compare with the starting price until the listed window closes. The contract is marked active in the saved record [1], but a reader should check the provider page for current status, since this snapshot may be out of date.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window Dogecoin price contract listed on Polymarket. The contract asks whether the Dogecoin price will finish higher or lower over a five-minute window in the evening of October 26 Eastern Time, as stated in its title [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T23:35:00Z, which corresponds to the 7:35PM ET close in the title [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. Because the reference is an average over the window compared with a starting price, the outcome depends on the average across the five minutes rather than only the price at the final moment. The saved market shows two outcomes, Up and Down, each with a snapshot price of 0.5 [1]. A snapshot price reflects the order book at the moment it was recorded. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability that Dogecoin will rise. The saved event contains only this one market, and its listing status at retrieval was active [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question about the direction of the DOGE/USD price as reported by one specific data feed. Its design ties the outcome to a Chainlink TWAP stream over a fixed window, so the settlement reference is defined in the rules rather than left to general market reports [1]. Readers comparing this contract with other Dogecoin markets should check each contract's window, starting price rule, and resolution source, since the rules of one market do not transfer to another [1]. Prices in such a contract move as traders' views change and as the market approaches its close, but the saved price here is only a single observation [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which data source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the contract is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T23:35:00Z, and the title gives the window as 7:30PM to 7:35PM ET on October 26 [1].
Does a price of 0.5 for Up mean the market expects a 50 percent chance of a rise?
No. The saved outcome prices are snapshots of market prices at one point in time and are not verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
PM $0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.