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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Fashchevskyi Ivan vs. Maltsev Denys

Fashchevskyi Ivan vs. Maltsev Denys
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5

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Fashchevskyi Ivan and Maltsev Denys in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 23 at 9:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fashchevskyi Ivan' if Fashchevskyi Ivan wins against Maltsev Denys. This market will resolve to 'Maltsev Denys' if Maltsev Denys wins against Fashchevskyi Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T06:00:05.915Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This contract covers a single table tennis match, Fashchevskyi Ivan vs. Maltsev Denys, in Setka Cup Ukraine Men. The rules state that the market "will resolve to 'Fashchevskyi Ivan' if Fashchevskyi Ivan wins against Maltsev Denys," and the reverse for Maltsev Denys [1]. The match is described as "scheduled for October 21 at 1:05AM ET" [1], which corresponds to 05:05 UTC. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T05:05:00.000Z [1].

The rules also set out non-standard outcomes. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or ends in a walkover, the market "will resolve to 50-50" [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified after the match begins, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with a "consensus of credible reporting" used only if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-21T06:00:05.915Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-21T11:53:07.128Z [1]. These are different times, and the observation is a past snapshot, not a live reading. The saved prices were Fashchevskyi Ivan at 0.005 and Maltsev Denys at 0.995 [1].

These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They show how the provider priced each outcome at observation time. The sample contains one market, and the coverage record marks it as complete for this saved event, with no partial sample [1]. This does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome in the real world, though a two-outcome match market has no obvious omitted outcome beyond the 50-50 conditions described in the rules.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the match was played, its result, or whether any 50-50 condition applied. It also does not show what happened between the observation time and retrieval time. Because the contract's terms cover cancellations, walkovers, and retirements differently, readers should not treat the observed prices as a forecast of the final resolution. Comparing this contract with a differently worded contract on another platform would require checking each rule set, since the evidence contains no other platform's terms or prices for this match.

References

  1. Polymarket: Fashchevskyi Ivan vs. Maltsev Denys. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T06:00:05.915Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Overview

This contract is a binary market on a single table tennis match between Fashchevskyi Ivan and Maltsev Denys, part of the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The provider's rules state that the market resolves to Fashchevskyi Ivan if he wins the match, and to Maltsev Denys if he wins [1]. The match was scheduled for October 21 at 1:05 AM Eastern Time, which corresponds to 05:05 UTC on that date [1]. The listed end time for the contract is October 28, 2026 at 05:05 UTC [1]. That date is a contract closing time from the rules, not an announced event date or a confirmed result. The rules set out several special cases. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retired, defaulted, or was disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics have not been published within two hours after the event concludes, the provider may use a consensus of credible reporting instead [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures which of the two named players wins this single table tennis match. Because it is a two-outcome contract with explicit rules for cancellation, walkovers, and early termination, its settlement depends on how the match is recorded in official statistics, not on the market price itself [1]. The rules show that a result that does not produce a clear winner would settle at 50-50 rather than to either player [1].

Snapshot context

The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if the match is canceled or not played?

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1].

What happens if one player retires or is disqualified during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

What source determines the result?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within two hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].

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Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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