BNB Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
PM $0
1
1
BNB Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a short-interval price contract for BNB. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title's window is "October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET," and the listed end time is 2026-10-19T01:25:00.000Z [1]. That end time matches the 9:25PM ET close in the title. Because the title and the listed time describe the same window, a reader comparing this contract with a differently worded BNB contract should check the stated resolution source and time range rather than the title alone.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T00:35:00.385Z [1]. At that observation, the provider reported the market as active, with an "Up" price of 0.505 and a "Down" price of 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this record, but the snapshot does not show the order book, spreads, or trade sizes.
The sample covers one market from one event on one platform, Polymarket. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. The sample is complete for the saved event, but the evidence does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed. Because only one platform is included, no cross-platform comparison is possible. Prices from other BNB contracts with different wording, time windows, or resolution sources should not be averaged with this one or treated as an arbitrage opportunity.
The evidence does not include volume or trader counts, so it cannot describe liquidity or how many participants hold either side.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot is about 35 minutes older than the retrieval time, and the contract's listed end time falls after that retrieval time. The evidence does not show the market's price after the observation, and it does not show the eventual outcome. The sources provided do not explain why either price is where it is. Readers should treat this as a record of one observed moment and check the provider for later status before drawing any conclusion.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET," listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB will finish a five-minute window at or above where it started. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The measurement is an average, not a single price at the close. The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider states that only this Chainlink data stream counts for resolution, and that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1]. A trader reading this contract should therefore focus on how the Chainlink average compares with the starting price, rather than on the price quoted on a particular exchange. The event record describes the contract as active at the time of its observation, with a listed end time of 2026-10-19T01:25:00 UTC [1]. The listed end time marks when the contract closes. It is not evidence of when or how the market was settled, and the sources available here do not show a final resolution.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink-based time-weighted average of BNB/USD over a five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average over the window, a brief move near the end does not decide the result by itself. The rule that only the named Chainlink stream counts is important for interpreting the contract, since prices on other venues are not the measure [1]. The market's prices show what participants were paying for each outcome at the time they were recorded. They are not guaranteed trade prices or verified probabilities, and the volume figure is not a measure of liquidity or the number of traders.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Up outcome require?
Up resolves if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the BNB price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does the Down outcome require?
Down applies when the average does not meet that condition, meaning the Chainlink TWAP over the window is below the price at the start of the range [1].
Do prices on other exchanges decide this contract?
No. The provider states that the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for BNB/USD, not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract close?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-19T01:25:00 UTC, which corresponds to the 9:20PM to 9:25PM ET window in the title [1].
Does this entry show the final result?
No. The available record shows the contract as active at observation and gives its listed end time, but it does not report a settled outcome [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
BNB Up or Down - October 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
PM $0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
PM $0
Solana Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
PM $0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
PM $0
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.