Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - First Team to Score
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Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - First Team to Score
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming match between Red Bull Bragantino and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Red Bull Bragantino" if Red Bull Bragantino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event covers the match between Red Bull Bragantino and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET [1]. Its three contracts ask which side scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. One contract resolves to "Red Bull Bragantino," one to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol," and one to "Neither" if no team scores in that window [1]. The rules exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs [1].
The contracts also differ in wording. The two team contracts are phrased as "to score first," while the third is phrased as "Neither team to score first?" [1]. Each is a separate yes or no question. The source states that a postponed game keeps the market open until completion, a canceled game with no make-up resolves to "Neither," and if no acceptable data exists within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 or to "Draw" where applicable [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T22:30:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:51:10.026Z [1]. These are records of the saved data, not live quotes. Each contract shows a Yes price of 0.49 and a No price of 0.51 in that snapshot [1]. These prices are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and volume is not a measure of liquidity or trader count.
All three markets in this sample are included, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The saved data does not establish that every real-world outcome is listed. Because the three contracts are separate binary questions, their identical prices should not be combined or treated as a single ranking, and the snapshot does not show why the prices are where they are.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show prices after the observation time, so it cannot describe the current state of these markets. It also does not include match news, lineups, or any information about how the outcome will be determined beyond the stated rules. Readers should compare the observation time with the listed close time and the match date, and should check the provider page for later data.
References
- Polymarket: Red Bull Bragantino vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a Polymarket contract on which team scores first in the scheduled match between Red Bull Bragantino and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol [1]. The provider lists the match for October 28, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, and the listed end time is 2026-10-28T22:30:00Z [1]. Under the contract, the market resolves to Red Bull Bragantino or to Associação Chapecoense de Futebol depending on which side scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. If neither team scores in that window, the market resolves to "Neither" [1]. The rules exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs, so a goal in those phases does not count toward the outcome [1]. The contract also describes what happens if the match is disrupted. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the match is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1]. The contract names an order of data sources for settling the result. The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore data, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1]. Later revisions to an officially declared final score are not counted [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where that option applies [1]. The event page groups three related contracts: whether Red Bull Bragantino scores first, whether Associação Chapecoense de Futebol scores first, and whether neither team scores first [1]. In the saved snapshot, each of the three contracts shows a Yes price of 0.49 and a No price of 0.51 [1]. A price is a snapshot of a contract at one observation time. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability that a team will score first. The three contracts are also separate instruments, so their matching prices do not create a trading opportunity by themselves. Chapecoense is described in general terms as a Brazilian football club based in the city of Chapecó in the state of Santa Catarina [2]. The available background on the club does not describe this fixture, its lineups, or its context.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single question: which side, if either, is the first to score in the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. Because it is tied to that window, it does not track the final result of the match. A team that wins after extra time or a penalty shoot-out does not change the outcome of this contract [1]. The rules also specify how a postponed or canceled fixture is handled, so the contract can settle even if the match schedule changes, under the stated conditions [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as scoring first in this market?
The team that scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time is the outcome. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1].
What data is used to settle the market?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore data, then a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
