Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027

Total Volume

$20.61K

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Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027

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$20.61K

Events

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $20.61K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $20.61K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	98%
Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	97%
Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	97%
Will Tesla report Above 325,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	95%
Will Tesla report Above 300,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	95%
Will Tesla report Above 350,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	82%
Will Tesla report Above 375,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	74%
Will Tesla report Above 400,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	68%
Will Tesla report Above 425,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	52%
Will Tesla report Above 450,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	41%
Will Tesla report Above 475,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	39%
Will Tesla report Above 500,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	21%
Will Tesla report Above 525,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	11%
Will Tesla report Above 550,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	7%
Will Tesla report Above 575,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$20.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

total deliveries in Q1 2027 If Tesla reports Above X total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** total deliveries in Q1 2027 

If Tesla reports Above X total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tesla reports Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Tesla report Above 575,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tesla report Above 550,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Tesla report Above 525,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Tesla report Above 500,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Tesla report Above 475,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Tesla report Above 450,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Tesla report Above 425,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $790
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Tesla report Above 400,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Tesla report Above 375,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Tesla report Above 350,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Tesla report Above 325,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $595
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Tesla report Above 300,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027

Volume$20.61K

Markets15

15 of 15

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KALSHI

Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

If Tesla reports Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their

KALSHI

Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

If Tesla reports Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their

KALSHI

Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

If Tesla reports Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their

KALSHI

Will Tesla report Above 325,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla report Above 325,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

If Tesla reports Above 325000 total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their

KALSHI

Will Tesla report Above 300,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Tesla report Above 300,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

If Tesla reports Above 300000 total deliveries in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their

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Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

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Events (1)

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027

Markets (15)

Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 325,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 325,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 300,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 300,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

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Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

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Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027

Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 225000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 250000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 275000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 325,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 325,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 300,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

Will Tesla report Above 300,000 total deliveries in Q1 2027?

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