Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The market is titled "Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET" [1]. Its rule states that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rule says the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this with another Solana contract should check whether that contract uses the same source, averaging method, and time window.
The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-26T13:15:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close time for the contract, not a confirmed resolution time, and the evidence does not show how the market has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T17:59:51.638Z [1]. The figures below describe the saved provider data at observation time. They are not live prices.
The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved event contains one market, and it is complete: the coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one market was saved, the evidence supplies no cross-contract comparison for this event. The status recorded at observation was "active" [1].
The evidence does not include trading volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it provides no information about developments after the observation time. The saved record does not show whether the contract has since closed, settled, or resolved. Any reader using these figures should check the current provider page and the Chainlink stream directly.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Solana (SOL/USD) listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET." The provider's rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, as generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract therefore compares an average price over a 15-minute window with the price at the window's start, not the price at the final moment. The resolution source is named as information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP basis [1]. The provider's rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for SOL/USD and not any other source or spot market [1]. Readers should not assume that prices on other exchanges or data feeds determine the outcome. The saved listing shows an end time of 2026-10-26T13:15:00Z and an active provider status at the time of retrieval [1]. The listed end time is the contract's closing time, which is distinct from the actual resolution, and this entry does not report how the contract resolved. The price snapshot in this entry was observed earlier than the retrieval time, so it describes that earlier moment and should not be read as a live quote.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average SOL/USD price, as reported in a specified Chainlink data stream, over the 9:00AM to 9:15AM ET window on October 26 is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window, a brief move at the start or end may affect the result differently than a comparison of two single prices would. Users who want to understand the contract should read the rule text, since the outcome depends on that specific data stream rather than general Solana price reports [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the TWAP of SOL/USD over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The provider names the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream and states that other sources or spot markets are not used for resolution [1].
What does the price shown for each outcome represent?
At the observation time recorded for this entry, the Up outcome was listed at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from a saved listing, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
When does this contract close?
The saved listing gives an end time of 2026-10-26T13:15:00Z [1]. That is the listed closing time and does not confirm how or when the contract was resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Solana Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.