Atlanta vs Golden State: 4th Quarter Winner
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Atlanta vs Golden State: 4th Quarter Winner
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Golden State at 46%.
Kalshi
- Golden State46%
- Atlanta44.5%
- Tie14%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
ATL vs GS (Oct 31) If X is the Y of the 4th quarter, not including overtime, of regulation time in the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: This market does not include overtime. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the specified quarter of regulation. Only points scored during the specified quarter of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the "Tie" strike resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within 2 days. If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Kalshi event asks about the fourth quarter of the Atlanta vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 [1]. The rules state that the market "does not include overtime" [1]. Three markets share the event: one resolves Yes if Golden State wins the quarter, one if Atlanta wins, and one if the quarter is tied. The rules say that only points scored during the specified quarter count, and that a tied quarter resolves all team markets to No and the tie market to Yes [1]. If the game is postponed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, within 2 days, but if the game is not played or is rescheduled more than 2 days out, the markets resolve to a fair price under the rules [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation time is 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:57:14Z [1]. These timestamps describe the saved record, not live trading conditions. In that snapshot, the Yes prices were 0.48 for Golden State, 0.425 for Atlanta, and 0.125 for a tie [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The three Yes prices sum to 1.03, so they do not form a clean probability set in this record. That difference does not by itself indicate an opportunity, because the evidence does not include spreads, fees, or order depth.
The market data lists an end date of 2026-10-22T00:00:00.000Z for all three markets [1]. The source excerpt, however, says the listed end time is "not supplied" and that the market closes after a winner is declared [1]. Treat the end date as a provider field rather than a confirmed closing time for the game.
All three saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. The sample warning still notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The three markets are the only outcomes in this record, and no conclusion should be drawn about any omitted outcome.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it contains no recent news, game status beyond the saved record, or trader counts. Whether the game was played on schedule is not established. The record includes only one source, a Kalshi event page, so it offers no comparison with other platforms or contracts. Differences in wording or listed close times between contracts can affect what each price means, so direct price comparisons should wait until the rules are checked side by side.
References
- Kalshi: Atlanta vs Golden State: 4th Quarter Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi contract on the fourth-quarter winner of a women's professional basketball game between Atlanta and Golden State, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 [1]. The contract is a prediction market, meaning it trades on whether a stated outcome will occur. Under its rules, the market resolves to Yes if the specified team scores the most points during the fourth quarter of regulation [1]. Overtime is excluded, and only points scored in that quarter count [1]. The contract also covers a tie. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, the tie outcome resolves to Yes and the team outcomes resolve to No [1]. The saved event contains three separate markets: one for Golden State winning the fourth quarter, one for Atlanta winning it, and one for a tie [1]. Each market has its own Yes and No prices, which are snapshots of market activity at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The rules also address schedule changes. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, within two days [1]. If the game is not played or is rescheduled more than two days out, the rules say all markets resolve to a fair price under the contract terms [1]. The market closes and expires once a winner is declared [1]. The supplied evidence does not state whether the game has been played or whether any rescheduling has occurred. The rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league [1]. The sampled markets are the complete saved set for this single provider event, so no outcomes are omitted from this event's records. That sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome for the game.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, narrowly defined result: which side scores more points in the fourth quarter of regulation, or whether the two sides tie [1]. Because it excludes overtime and counts only fourth-quarter points, it does not track the final game result or the overall winner [1]. Readers should therefore not read the fourth-quarter prices as predictions of the full game. The prices shown are snapshots from the provider's observation time and do not indicate what a trader could execute at any later moment. Their volume is not a measure of liquidity or the number of participants, and differences between the three prices do not on their own indicate an opportunity, since each market settles on a different outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts toward the Golden State and Atlanta fourth-quarter markets?
Only points scored during the fourth quarter of regulation count, and overtime is excluded [1].
What happens if both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter?
The tie outcome resolves to Yes, and the team outcomes resolve to No [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
The market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, within two days. If the game is not played or is rescheduled more than two days out, the rules say all markets resolve to a fair price under the contract terms [1].
When does the market close?
The rules state that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved market data lists an end date of October 22, 2026, but the evidence does not describe that date as a game time or an announced event [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
