
2027 Pro Basketball Champion
PM $29.20M · K 45.00M contracts
2
60
2027 Pro Basketball Champion

PM $29.20M · K 45.00M contracts
2
60
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Oklahoma City is priced at 22.5% on Polymarket and 24.5% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma CitySame question, fine print differs | 22.5% | 24.5% | 2.0 pts |
| San AntonioSame question, fine print differs | 19.5% | 20.5% | 1.0 pts |
| PhiladelphiaSame question, fine print differs | 9.8% | 10.5% | 0.7 pts |
| New YorkSame question, fine print differs | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0 pts |
| MinnesotaSame question, fine print differs | 6.2% | 6.5% | 0.4 pts |
| BostonSame question, fine print differs | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0 pts |
| MiamiSame question, fine print differs | 3.1% | 4.5% | 1.3 pts |
| TorontoSame question, fine print differs | 4% | 3.5% | 0.5 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $29.20M · K 45.00M contracts
Reported volume · provider units
60
Saved contracts
30
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
2026-27 If X wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-13T03:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This page covers a Kalshi event titled "2027 Pro Basketball Champion" [1]. Each market in the event asks whether one team will win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals. The rule is stated in the source: "If X wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. A Yes price is the market's trading price for that outcome, and a No price is the price for the opposite outcome.
The listed market end date for each team market is 2029-07-30 14:00 UTC [1]. That date is a field in the contract data, not an announced event date. The event text says the market "will close and expire after a title holder is declared" [1]. The source does not supply a separate listed end time for the event, so the timing of the finals and the eventual resolution cannot be read from this snapshot.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-13 03:00 UTC and retrieved at 04:08 UTC [1]. They describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
In the included sample, the highest Yes prices are Oklahoma City at 0.225 and San Antonio at 0.215, followed by Philadelphia at 0.105 and New York at 0.085 [1]. Several teams are priced at the low end of the sample, including Los Angeles L, Cleveland, Toronto, and Denver at 0.025 each, and Golden State at 0.015 [1]. Those low prices reflect only what the provider reported at observation time.
Volume is not included in this sample, and volume would not indicate liquidity or the number of traders anyway. The page does not explain why any price is where it is.
What remains uncertain
This is a partial sample. The saved event contains 30 markets, and 12 are shown [1]. The omitted 18 teams are not known to have lower prices. They simply are not in this snapshot. The sample was ordered by Yes price, so the included teams are not a complete field.
Prices from other platforms are not supplied here, and different platforms may word or close their contracts differently. Differences in price between separate contracts should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity without checking the rules, close times, and execution conditions. The source also states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League [1].
References
- Kalshi: 2027 Pro Basketball Champion. Provider data observed 2026-10-13T03:00:06.088Z.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-13T03:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers a Kalshi event titled "2027 Pro Basketball Champion." Each market asks whether a single team wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals. The provider's rule for each contract is: "If X wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The event also states that "This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared" [1]. Each contract therefore resolves on its own team's outcome, so the markets are separate binary questions and are not one ranked list of outcomes.
The provider's status line reads "Provider status: active. Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The market records carry an end date of 2029-07-30 14:00 UTC [1], but the excerpt does not say that this is the listed close time. The reader should not treat that date as the expected finals date or as an announced schedule.
Reading the snapshot
The observation time is 2026-10-13 03:00:06 UTC, and the source was retrieved at 04:08:21 UTC on the same day [1]. These are times for a saved snapshot, not live quotes. Prices may have changed since then, and the snapshot is not an executable quote.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 30 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by the highest finite Yes price, with volume used as a tiebreak. The omitted 18 markets are not shown, so the sample does not show their prices and cannot be read as the complete field.
Within the included sample, Oklahoma City is priced at 0.225 Yes, San Antonio at 0.215, and Philadelphia at 0.105 [1]. New York is at 0.085, Minnesota at 0.065, Miami at 0.055, and Boston at 0.045. Four included teams are at 0.025, and Golden State is at 0.015 [1]. These are quoted prices from a single snapshot. They are not verified probabilities. Because the sample is partial and the contracts are separate, the included prices should not be added together or compared to a full-field total.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt does not explain why any price is where it is, and this analysis does not offer a reason. It also does not report trader counts, liquidity, or depth. Volume appears in the selection rule, but its value is not supplied for these markets, and volume is not a measure of liquidity or of how many people traded.
Contracts with different wording or close times should not be compared directly. Because the provider's listed end time is not supplied, the close timing is unclear from the excerpt. Price differences across contracts or platforms do not by themselves show an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: 2027 Pro Basketball Champion. Provider data observed 2026-10-13T03:00:06.088Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 13, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The 2027 Pro Basketball Champion event on Kalshi is a set of yes or no contracts about the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals. Each team-specific market resolves to Yes if that team wins the finals [1]. The event is labelled as the 2026-27 season [1]. The rules say the market will close and expire after a title holder is declared [1]. The provider did not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The end dates shown in the saved market data are provider fields. They are not an announced date for when the finals will be played or decided, and the rules do not give one. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League, and that all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners [1]. The governing league is not named in the rules, so this page does not identify it. Each listed price is a snapshot of one market at the observation time, not an executable quote or a verified probability. The saved event contains 30 markets, and this sample includes 12 of them. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, then by volume. Volume measures trading activity, not liquidity or the number of traders, and the sample does not show the full set of teams.
Historical Context
The supplied background pages describe 2027 as the upcoming year when they were retrieved [2]. The 2027 in sports page lists events such as the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup, the 2027 Cricket World Cup, and the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup [3]. None of those is the basketball finals covered by this contract, and the supplied sources do not cover earlier championships in this competition.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific team wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals [1]. Because each team has its own yes or no market, the prices show how the market values each outcome at a given moment, but they do not describe the whole field on their own [1]. The rules also make clear that the market closes after a title holder is declared, so the resolution depends on the finals result rather than on a scheduled date stated in these rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-13 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean in this event?
According to the contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named team wins the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals [1].
When does the market close?
The market closes and expires after a title holder is declared [1]. The provider did not supply a listed end time, so the rules do not give a fixed closing time [1].
Is this event affiliated with the league?
Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or officially connected with the Governing League [1].
Do the prices show the full field of teams?
No. The saved event has 30 markets, and the sample includes 12 of them, so it does not show the full field [1]. Prices are snapshots and are not executable quotes.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
30
Largest saved gap: 2.0 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

