ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T00:00:06.223Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a short-window contract on ZCash, labeled "ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET" [1]. The source states that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution reference is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the source says the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T23:50:00.000Z [1]. The title gives the window in Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should compare both fields directly rather than assume they match.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record has two Polymarket outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. The observation time is 2026-11-02T00:00:06.223Z, and the retrieval time is 2026-11-02T01:24:28.156Z [1]. These are prices from the observation time, not live quotes. They are not executable prices, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only this contract is present, no ranking or comparison with other outcomes is possible from this evidence. The record does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold either side.
Because the two prices are equal in the snapshot, the record shows no difference between the outcomes at that moment. It does not show why the prices were set at that level, and it gives no basis for predicting the direction of the ZEC/USD TWAP.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show prices after the observation time, so the current price today is unknown. The contract has not resolved according to the supplied material, and the record is marked active with the provider status as active [1]. No other platform's contract for this window appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison should be made. Any difference in wording or close time between contracts on different platforms would need to be checked against each platform's own rules.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T00:00:06.223Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on Polymarket, a prediction market platform, that asks whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than where it started. The market is titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET" and is categorized as Crypto [1]. Its two outcomes are "Up" and "Down" [1]. The contract settles by comparing two values over the stated window. It will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The reference is therefore an average across the window rather than a single price printed at the close, and a flat average that equals the starting price counts as "Up" [1]. The market is about one specific data feed. The rules state that the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules also say the market reflects the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with an exchange price chart should therefore expect that the two may differ, because the contract follows the named feed. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-11-02T23:50:00.000Z [1]. The provider's status for the event at retrieval was active [1]. That status describes the listing at the time it was saved, not whether the contract is open or priced today.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average ZEC/USD price from the named Chainlink data stream over the window from 6:45PM to 6:50PM ET is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the rule uses an average over time rather than a single closing print, the result depends on how the price moved across the whole five-minute range and not only on its final value [1]. Because the rule names a specific feed and excludes other sources and spot markets, the outcome is tied to that feed's data rather than to any general view of the ZCash price [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should keep in mind that it is a snapshot from the saved record and not a quote that can be executed at that level.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
What happens if the average equals the starting price?
Under the stated rule, a value that is greater than or equal to the starting price resolves the market to "Up" [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
Why does the averaging method matter?
The rule uses a time-weighted average over the window rather than a single price at one moment, so the result depends on the average across the full range [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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