Karpenko Oleh vs. Kovshun Yaroslav
PM $0
1
4
Karpenko Oleh vs. Kovshun Yaroslav
PM $0
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Karpenko Oleh and Kovshun Yaroslav in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karpenko Oleh' if Karpenko Oleh wins against Kovshun Yaroslav. This market will resolve to 'Kovshun Yaroslav' if Kovshun Yaroslav wins against Karpenko Oleh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers four Polymarket contracts for the table tennis match between Karpenko Oleh and Kovshun Yaroslav in Setka Cup Ukraine Men. The rules say the match is "scheduled for October 16 at 6:00AM ET" [1]. The winner contract resolves to the player who wins the match. The total games contracts (Over/Under 3.5 and 4.5) and the game handicap contract are separate questions, each with its own threshold or line, so their prices should not be read as one combined view of the match.
The rules also set several non-standard outcomes. A canceled or tied match, a walkover, or a delay beyond 7 days without a winner resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match starts but ends early through retirement, default, or disqualification, the player who advances wins [1]. The primary resolution source is official event statistics, but if these are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:11:12.047Z [1]. These are point-in-time snapshots, not live or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The recorded prices are: Over 3.5 at 0.505 and Under 3.5 at 0.495; Over 4.5 at 0.505 and Under 4.5 at 0.495; Karpenko Oleh and Kovshun Yaroslav each at 0.5 in the winner contract; and each side at 0.5 in the game handicap contract [1]. The handicap line is listed as Kovshun Yaroslav (-1.5) versus Karpenko Oleh (+1.5) [1].
The listed end time for all four contracts is 2026-10-23T10:00:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time. It is not an announced match date, and the evidence does not show when the match will be decided.
The evidence records volume as a selection criterion only, and no volume figures are supplied. Volume is not a measure of liquidity or of how many traders participated, so the snapshot cannot support either conclusion.
What remains uncertain
All four markets in the saved event are included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. However, the source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one platform appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible, and differences in wording or listed close times should not be treated as arbitrage opportunities.
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, does not show the match result, and does not indicate whether the match has been played. Readers should check the official event statistics and resolution rules for the final outcome.
References
- Polymarket: Karpenko Oleh vs. Kovshun Yaroslav. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event tied to a men's table tennis match, Karpenko Oleh vs. Kovshun Yaroslav, listed under the Setka Cup Ukraine Men competition [1]. The provider describes the match as scheduled for October 16 at 6:00AM ET [1]. The event page lists four markets: a match winner contract, two total games contracts (Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5), and a game handicap contract with Kovshun Yaroslav at -1.5 and Karpenko Oleh at +1.5 [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2026-10-23T10:00:00.000Z, which is the contract's listed end time rather than the date of the match [1]. The winner contract resolves to 'Karpenko Oleh' if he wins and to 'Kovshun Yaroslav' if his opponent wins [1]. The rules also address non-standard outcomes. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead [1]. The prices shown for these contracts are snapshots taken at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. At the observation time, the winner contract priced Karpenko Oleh and Kovshun Yaroslav at 0.5 each, the game handicap contract priced its two sides at 0.5 each, and both total games contracts priced Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1]. Those figures describe the saved snapshot only and do not indicate which outcome is more likely.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure the outcome of one scheduled table tennis match and, for the total games and handicap markets, the number of games played and the margin in games [1]. Because the rules specify how cancellations, ties, walkovers, and mid-match retirements or disqualifications settle, the contract's payout depends on how the match concludes as well as who wins [1]. The resolution source is official event statistics, with a fallback to consensus credible reporting if official final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends [1]. Readers should treat the snapshot prices as a record of market pricing at one moment, not as a current or verified forecast.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match does not get played?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the winner market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start, also resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if one player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source determines the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
Do the listed prices show the chance that a player wins?
The prices are snapshots taken at the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. At that time the winner contract was priced at 0.5 for each player [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
