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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Where will it rain on October 21?

Where will it rain on October 21?
Vol

PM $375.42

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Events

1

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Markets

14

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Los Angeles, CA at 94%.

Polymarket

  1. Los Angeles, CA94%
  2. Phoenix, AZ78%
  3. San Francisco, CA73%
  4. Miami, FL17.5%
  5. Boston, MA4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $375.42

Reported volume ยท provider units

14

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 21, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 21, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 21, 2026?

K 122.7K contracts
Will it rain in Los Angeles on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will it rain in Phoenix on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 79%
Will it rain in San Francisco on Oct 21, 2026?Yes 68.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Where will it rain on October 20?

Where will it rain on October 20?

PM $4.4K
Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 20?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 20?Yes 49.5%
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 20?Yes 49.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference?

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference?

K 5.5K contracts
What will JD Vance say during Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Taxpayer)Yes 82.5%
What will JD Vance say during Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Democrat)Yes 78.5%
What will JD Vance say during Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026? (Medicare / Medicaid)Yes 75.5%
+23 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
How much will it rain in Napa in October 2026?

How much will it rain in Napa in October 2026?

K 264.72 contracts
How much will it rain in Napa in October 2026? (Above 5 inches)Yes 36.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in October 2026? (Above 3 inches)Yes 28.5%
How much will it rain in Napa in October 2026? (Above 1 inch)Yes 23.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Oct 20, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 20, 2026?

K 731.1K contracts
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Miami on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Albuquerque on Oct 20, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)?

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)?

K 4.2K contracts
Will it rain in West Palm Beach between Oct 24 and Oct 25, 2026?Yes 94.5%
Will it rain in Miami between Oct 24 and Oct 25, 2026?Yes 91%
Will it rain in Albuquerque between Oct 24 and Oct 25, 2026?Yes 77%
+32 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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