Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied contract is titled "Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET" and is listed under the Crypto category [1]. Its rule states that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rule says the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-24T18:45:00.000Z [1]. The rules describe the resolution method but do not state when or how the result will be published. This snapshot does not confirm an actual resolution.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation time is 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T05:35:17.315Z [1]. The prices below describe the market at the observation time, not at the time you are reading this. They should not be treated as current.
The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. The two outcomes sum to 1.00 in this snapshot. These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The volume field is not included in the evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of participants.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, and the coverage record shows that market was included in full (1 of 1, not partial) [1]. Because only one contract is saved for this event, there is no ranking or comparison to other outcomes. The sample warning also states that the saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. No cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were at these levels, and it contains no news, trader counts, or historical accuracy data. It also does not show the Solana price at the start of the window or at the end, so the direction of the outcome cannot be determined from the supplied material. The provider status was "active" at retrieval, but the snapshot does not show whether trading has since changed or closed.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract on Polymarket titled "Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether Solana's price over a five-minute window will be higher or lower than at the start of that window. Its rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the specified range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The measure is specific. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract on a different oracle, exchange, or price feed could settle differently, so the source named in the rules is what determines the outcome. The listed end time is 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z [1]. The window in the title is 2:40PM to 2:45PM Eastern Time [1]. The listed end time is the close of the contract, and the rules describe how the outcome is determined. The saved record was observed at 2026-10-24T03:00:05Z and showed the contract as active at that time [1]. Any later status is not described here.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Solana's SOL/USD price over one short window, as recorded by a specific Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the rules use an average over the window and compare it with the starting price, the result depends on the averaged price across the interval rather than only the final price at the close [1]. The contract is therefore a narrow question about a named data feed. It does not measure Solana's broader market, its adoption, or prices reported by other venues [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
According to the rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules [1]. The rules state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-24T18:45:00Z, and the title describes the window as 2:40PM to 2:45PM Eastern Time [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.