Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The evidence covers the Polymarket event "Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - Exact Score" [1]. Each market asks whether one exact final score will occur in the match scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET [1]. The rules count only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. Scores not explicitly listed resolve to "Any Other Score" [1]. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-08T16:00:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time, not a confirmed result or resolution date.

Resolution data follows a fallback order: official statistics, then Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-28T09:51:44.067Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they may no longer reflect current conditions. The evidence does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.

The saved event contains 37 markets, and 12 are included in this sample [1]. The selection ranks markets by finite Yes price, then volume, so the omitted 25 markets are not shown and should not be read as having lower prices. Within the included set, seven markets show a Yes price of 0.375, one shows 0.3745 (the 5-4 score), and four show 0.37 [1]. Each Yes and No pair in the sample sums to 1 [1].

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own wording. These prices should be compared only within this event and not averaged across outcomes or ranked against other events.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it contains no news about the teams, lineups, or conditions for the match. The match has not been played according to the supplied evidence, so the listed end time is not a result. Postponement or cancellation could change how the contract settles, and the fallback sources could affect the outcome if official statistics are delayed [1]. Prices shown are snapshots and do not indicate which outcome is more likely. Comparisons with other platforms would require separate evidence on their wording and close times.

References

1. Polymarket: Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - Exact Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z.