ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price over a five-minute window, titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET" [1]. The market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1] Because the test is "greater than or equal to," a flat result resolves Up. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1]
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T09:16:42.966Z [1]. It lists "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are prices from a saved record. They are not executable quotes and not verified probabilities. The provider status at capture was active, with a listed end time of 2026-11-02T05:15:00.000Z [1]. The listed end time is written in UTC, while the title uses ET, so readers should check the conversion against the source before comparing timing.
The sample covers one market, and that market is the only one saved for this event. The coverage record shows all markets were included and the sample is not partial [1]. Because this is a single event on one platform, there is no other outcome to compare and no cross-platform comparison to make.
What remains uncertain
The evidence is a single saved record, so it does not show prices at any other time or describe current conditions. The evidence does not explain why the two prices are equal. It also does not show how many traders hold either side, and no volume or liquidity data is included in the supplied excerpt. The evidence does not contain the actual resolution of the window, so the outcome of this contract cannot be determined from the supplied material.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a short-window price contract on ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar. Its title, "ZCash Up or Down - November 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET", names a five-minute window in Eastern Time. The contract is listed on Polymarket, and the provider record shows its status as active with a listed end time of 2026-11-02T05:15:00.000Z [1]. The rules tie resolution to a time-weighted average price (TWAP) rather than a single spot print. The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The equal-price case therefore counts as Up. The named resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, with a 60-second TWAP configuration indicated in the stream's name [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink stream is used, not other sources or spot markets for the same asset pair [1]. Traders reading this contract should therefore focus on that specific data feed rather than on prices quoted elsewhere. At the saved observation time of 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z, the market's two outcomes were recorded at 0.5 each [1]. That figure is a snapshot of the listing at that moment. It is not an executable quote and should not be read as a verified probability of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZEC/USD over one specific five-minute window, as defined by a Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the outcome compares the average price over the window with the price at the window's start, it asks whether the averaged price finished at or above the opening reference, not whether the price rose at the end of the window. The use of a time-weighted average also means that brief spikes carry less weight than sustained movement across the window [1]. Traders can read the outcome as a narrow test of the named data feed, which matters because the rules exclude other exchanges and spot markets [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to Up if the TWAP of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The outcome is based on Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that other sources or spot markets do not determine it [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title specifies November 2, 12:10AM to 12:15AM ET, and the provider's listed end time is 2026-11-02T05:15:00.000Z [1].
Does a price near 0.5 mean the outcome is equally likely?
No. The recorded prices are snapshots from the provider at one observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.