Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a short-window Dogecoin contract. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title gives the window as 11:50PM to 11:55PM ET, while the listed end time is 2026-10-27T03:55:00.000Z [1]. Readers comparing this with other venues should check that both contracts use the same time zone conversion, the same window, and the same reference price before treating their wording as equivalent.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation was taken at 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T10:14:49.417Z [1]. The Up and Down outcomes were each priced at 0.5 at observation time [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample also reports no volume figure, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, with no partial sampling reported [1]. Because there is only one contract and no comparison market, there is nothing to average or rank across platforms. The equal prices describe only this snapshot. They do not indicate how the contract will settle, and the evidence gives no reason for them.
What remains uncertain
The status of the market was recorded as active at retrieval, but the evidence does not show any later price, the settlement result, or whether the status has changed since then [1]. The evidence also does not show trading depth, the spread between buy and sell prices, or any events that might influence the TWAP during the window.
The saved sample includes all markets for this event, but the source states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Any comparison with a differently worded contract should account for the differences in resolution source, window, and close time noted above.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Dogecoin, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET." The contract is categorized under crypto and is listed on Polymarket [1]. It asks whether the price of Dogecoin will finish the stated five-minute window at or above where it started. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is tied to a specific data feed. The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, which the rules identify by its data stream address [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price shown in that Chainlink stream for the DOGE/USD pair, and not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore understand this contract as a question about one named data series, not a general question about where Dogecoin trades. The listed end time is 2026-10-27 03:55 UTC, which corresponds to the 11:55 PM ET close named in the title [1]. Timing matters here. The contract's end time, the time the provider record was observed, the time the source was retrieved, and the actual resolution are separate events. The provider record in this entry was observed at 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC and retrieved shortly after, and it reported the market as active at that time [1]. That snapshot describes the provider record at that moment and does not establish the market's status now or its eventual outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Dogecoin's price over a single five-minute interval, as recorded by one specified Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window against the price at the window's start, the result depends on how the TWAP behaves across the interval rather than on a single moment's price [1]. The rules limit the question to that data stream, so prices or movements on other exchanges or spot markets do not determine the outcome under these terms [1]. Readers comparing this contract with other Dogecoin markets should check each market's own resolution source and time window, since the rules are specific to this event [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up?
It resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Which price data does the market use?
It uses the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules state that prices from other sources or spot markets are not the basis for resolution [1].
When does the contract window close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27 03:55 UTC, matching the 11:55 PM ET end named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.