FC Salzburg vs. Austria Lustenau - First Team to Score
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FC Salzburg vs. Austria Lustenau - First Team to Score
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is FC Salzburg at 48%.
Polymarket
- FC Salzburg48%
- Austria Lustenau48%
- Neither48%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming match between FC Salzburg and Austria Lustenau, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Salzburg" if FC Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Austria Lustenau" if Austria Lustenau are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract asks which team scores first in a match between FC Salzburg and Austria Lustenau, with the outcome limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve to "FC Salzburg" if FC Salzburg are the first to score" within that window, and "Neither" if neither team scores in it [1].
The rules also set fallback resolution sources. The primary source is official event statistics. If those are not published within 2 hours, Flashscore may be used, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data exists within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T13:30:00.000Z, and the source describes the match as scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET [1]. That date comes from the contract text, so treat it as the listed schedule rather than a confirmed announcement.
Reading the snapshot
The saved data was observed at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T02:31:20.588Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier snapshot only and may have changed since.
Three Polymarket contracts were saved for this event. The first asks whether FC Salzburg will score first and shows a Yes price of 0.485. The second asks whether Austria Lustenau will score first and also shows a Yes price of 0.485. The third asks whether neither team will score first and shows a Yes price of 0.48 [1]. Each contract is a separate question, so the three prices should not be combined or averaged into a single estimate. The snapshot prices are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the saved data does not include volume, depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity.
The source lists 3 total markets, 3 included, and no partial sample [1]. That covers the saved markets for this event. It does not establish that these three contracts list every possible real-world outcome.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why these prices are where they are, and it contains no news about either team. It also does not indicate whether the match will be played as scheduled, since the postponement and cancellation rules are conditional [1]. Finally, the snapshot cannot show how the contract will resolve, which depends on the match result and the data sources named in the rules.
References
- Polymarket: FC Salzburg vs. Austria Lustenau - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "FC Salzburg vs. Austria Lustenau - First Team to Score." The event is categorized as Sports and concerns a match listed for November 1, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET [1]. The saved event lists three active contracts: one for FC Salzburg to score first, one for Austria Lustenau to score first, and one for neither team scoring first [1]. Each contract is a yes or no market with a listed end time of 2026-11-01T13:30:00 UTC [1]. The contract rules define the outcome narrowly. A contract resolves to a team if that team is the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores in that window, the "Neither" outcome applies [1]. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded, so a goal in those periods does not count [1]. The rules also address disruption. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1]. The rules name the resolution data in order of preference. The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore data if Flashscore is unavailable, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1]. If no acceptable data exists within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where that outcome applies [1]. Revisions to final scores made after resolution are not considered [1]. The contracts are also worth reading against the underlying event. Market prices in the saved snapshot reflect what traders were willing to pay at a moment in time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and trading volume does not measure liquidity or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which outcome occurs first in one specific match: a goal by FC Salzburg, a goal by Austria Lustenau, or no goal by either side within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. Because it concerns only the first goal in a limited window, it is a different question from who wins the match or what the final score will be. The rules specify how postponement, cancellation, and missing data are handled, so the resolution does not depend solely on a single source [1]. The Wikipedia pages in the source set concern other subjects. One describes SV Austria Salzburg, a club formed in 2005 by supporters of an earlier club [2], and another covers the 2025-26 Austrian Cup [3]. Neither establishes details about this match or its contract rules, and the cup page does not describe this fixture.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as the first team to score?
The contract looks only at the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If a team scores first in that window, that team's contract resolves yes [1].
Are extra time and penalty shoot-outs included?
No. The rules state that extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from the market [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
The market remains open until the game has been completed [1].
What happens if the match is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1].
Where does the resolution data come from?
The primary source is the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event, Flashscore may be used, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting [1].
What if no acceptable data is available?
If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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