Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

Total Volume

$717.48

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

Vol

$717.48

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $717.48

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $717.48

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	97%
Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	83%
Will SpaceX report Above 16.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	67%
Will SpaceX report Above 17 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	50%
Will SpaceX report Above 17.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	37%
Will SpaceX report Above 18 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	25%
Will SpaceX report Above 18.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	19%
Will SpaceX report Above 19 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$717.48

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

starlink active subscribers in 2026 If SpaceX reports Above X starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** starlink active subscribers in 2026

If SpaceX reports Above X starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If SpaceX reports Above 19000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $717
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will SpaceX report Above 19 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $225
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will SpaceX report Above 18.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will SpaceX report Above 18 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will SpaceX report Above 17.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will SpaceX report Above 17 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $90
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will SpaceX report Above 16.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 16, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

Volume$717.48

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

KALSHI

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

If SpaceX reports Above 15000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or i

KALSHI

Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

If SpaceX reports Above 15500000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or i

KALSHI

Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

If SpaceX reports Above 16000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or i

KALSHI

Will SpaceX report Above 16.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will SpaceX report Above 16.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

If SpaceX reports Above 16500000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or i

KALSHI

Will SpaceX report Above 17 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will SpaceX report Above 17 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

If SpaceX reports Above 17000000.0 starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the annual figure reported in SpaceX's full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or i

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

54¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/F2p9X2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

Markets (9)

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 16.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 16.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 17 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 17 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 15 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 15.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 16 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 16.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 16.5 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 17 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Will SpaceX report Above 17 million starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget